Two years of extraordinary growth portend a "cooling off" period in 2014
ST. JOHN'S, Jan. 9, 2014 /CNW/ - The Royal LePage House Price Survey and Market Survey Forecast released today showed sizable year-over-year price increases across all housing types surveyed in St. John's.
The price of detached bungalows, standard two-storey homes and condominiums all rose by an impressive 9.0 per cent year-over-year, to $296,000, 9.2 per cent to $401,010 and 9.3 per cent to $316,235, respectively.
"The St. John's real estate market has been firing on all cylinders over the past two years and the fourth quarter was no exception," said Glenn Larkin, agent, Royal LePage Professionals 2000. "With that said, local employment and economic conditions combined with a jump in the number of available homes appear to presage a natural cooling off period."
According to Larkin the number of units available in St. John's, particularly two-storey homes and condominiums, has grown as new builds are starting to make their way onto the market.
Larkin predicts that home prices will rise slightly in 2014, reflecting an increase in input costs like labour and building supplies. At the same time he suggests that after two banner years there will be a leveling off in the number of homes trading hands in the city.
"We had two record years in 2012 and 2013, and it is unlikely that we'll see that sort of fevered growth in the year ahead," said Larkin. "We won't be breaking any records but we won't have any drastic declines either."
Nationally, the average price of a home in Canada increased between 1.2 per cent and 3.8 per cent in the fourth quarter.
The survey showed year-over-year average price increases in the fourth quarter of 2013 of 3.6 per cent to $418,282 for standard two-storey homes and 3.8 per cent to $380,710 for detached bungalows, while the average price of a standard condominium rose 1.2 per cent to $246,530. Prices are expected to maintain healthy momentum into 2014, with Royal LePage projecting a 3.7 per cent increase nationally from 2013 and a shift to a seller's market in the first portion of the year in a number of regions.
"A few short months ago, the country's housing market emerged from a year-long correctional cycle of dramatically slowed sales volumes. Later 2013 was marked by a transition to buoyant sales volumes and above average price growth," said Phil Soper, president and chief executive of Royal LePage. "In the absence of some calamitous event or material increase in mortgage financing costs, we expect this positive momentum to characterize 2014. In fact, we expect a market tipped decidedly in favour of sellers for the first half of the year, after which we project a shift to a more balanced market."
"We predict continued upward pressure on home prices as we move towards the all-important spring market. In addition to normal demand, housing prices in Canada this year will be influenced by buyers who put off purchase plans in the very soft spring of 2013," continued Soper. "Talk of a 'soft landing' for Canada's real estate market in the new year is misguided. We expect no landing, no slowdown, and no correction in the near-term. Conditions are ripe for as strong a market as we saw in the post-recessionary rebound of the last decade."
About the Royal LePage House Price Survey
The Royal LePage House Price Survey is the largest, most comprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of housing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release references an abbreviated version of the survey which highlights house price trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 90 communities across the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is available on the Royal LePage website at www.royallepage.ca. Current figures will be updated following the complete tabulation of the data for the fourth quarter of 2013. A printable version of the fourth quarter 2013 survey will be available online on February 6, 2014. Housing values in the Royal LePage House Price Survey are Royal LePage opinions of fair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts.
About Royal LePage
Serving Canadians since 1913, Royal LePage is the country's leading provider of services to real estate brokerages, with a network of nearly 15,000 real estate professionals in over 600 locations nationwide. Royal LePage is the only Canadian real estate company to have its own charitable foundation, the Royal LePage Shelter Foundation, dedicated to supporting women's and children's shelters and educational programs aimed at ending domestic violence. Royal LePage is a Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc. company, a TSX-listed corporation trading under the symbolTSX:BRE.
For more information, visit www.royallepage.ca.
SOURCE: Royal LePage Real Estate Services
For further information:
Kaiser Lachance Communications
Director, Global Communications & Public Relations
Royal LePage Real Estate Services