Young buyers wanted in an aging housing market
FREDERICTON, July 13, 2016 /CNW/ - The Royal LePage House Price Survey1 and Market Survey Forecast today revealed healthy year-over-year increases in house prices across housing types surveyed in Fredericton. During the second quarter of 2016, the aggregate2 house price in the region rose 3.8 per cent year-over-year to $235,425.
When broken out by housing type, the median price of a bungalow increased 6.0 per cent to $210,630. During the same period, the median price of a two-storey home rose 3.2 per cent year-over-year to $267,618.
"In a slower economic environment, sellers are realizing that buyers are still willing to pay for quality listings," said Lincoln Thompson, broker and owner, Royal LePage Gardiner Realty. "An aging population in this region has placed greater demand on bungalows than we have seen previously, as they downsize from larger homes. The challenge, in this economic climate, is attracting young, first-time buyers in a province they are regularly moving out of."
According to forecasts by the Conference Board of Canada, New Brunswick will be one of only two Canadian provinces to see a contraction in economic activity this year (Alberta cited as the other province). Looking ahead to the remainder of 2016, Thompson anticipates prices in Fredericton will be flat for the remainder of the year relative to year end 2015.
Nationally, Canada's residential real estate market continued to show strong appreciation in the second quarter of 2016, posting the highest national year-over-year gain seen in five years. Amid continued world economic uncertainty, the historically low interest rate environment that has fueled Canada's real estate market growth in recent years – most notably in Greater Vancouver and the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) – is expected to continue longer than anticipated. This extended period of low-cost borrowing will in turn further delay the cyclical cooling of Canada's hottest real estate markets, originally forecasted for the second half of 2016.
The price of a home in Canada increased 9.2 per cent year-over-year to $520,223 in the second quarter of 2016. During the same period, the price of a two-storey home rose 10.7 per cent year-over-year to $619,671, the price of a bungalow increased 7.9 per cent to $437,121, and the price of a condominium increased 4.2 per cent to $348,189. Looking ahead to the remainder of 2016, Royal LePage forecasts that the aggregate price of a home in Canada will increase 12.4 per cent when compared to year end 2015.
"Our forecasting models, which pointed to a slowing housing market as the year progressed, included a modest increase in the cost of borrowing," said Phil Soper, president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage. "Economic and social disruptions have rocked the world once again, introducing new risks and making it very likely that the Bank of Canada will leave interest rates as-is for now. Few industries are as rate sensitive as real estate. We don't see even a mild correction for either the Toronto or pistol-hot Vancouver markets in 2016."
"Our call for 12.4 per cent national price appreciation in the final quarter of this calendar year as compared to the final quarter of last year, is a landmark in Canada. I believe it is the highest value put forward by any serious forecasting agency since the turn of the century," added Soper.
About the Royal LePage House Price Survey
The Royal LePage House Price Survey provides information on the three most common types of housing in Canada, in 53 of the nation's largest real estate markets. Housing values in the House Price Survey are based on the Royal LePage National House Price Composite, produced quarterly through the use of company data in addition to data and analytics from its sister company, Brookfield RPS, the trusted source for residential real estate intelligence and analytics in Canada. Commentary on housing and forecast values are provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts, based on their opinions and market knowledge.
About Royal LePage
Serving Canadians since 1913, Royal LePage is the country's leading provider of services to real estate brokerages, with a network of over 16,500 real estate professionals in more than 600 locations nationwide. Royal LePage is the only Canadian real estate company to have its own charitable foundation, the Royal LePage Shelter Foundation, dedicated to supporting women's and children's shelters and educational programs aimed at ending domestic violence. Royal LePage is a Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc. company, a TSX-listed corporation trading under the symbolTSX:BRE.
For more information visit: www.royallepage.ca.
1 Powered by Brookfield RPS
2 Aggregate prices are calculated via a weighted average of the median values of homes for reported property types in the regions surveyed
SOURCE Royal LePage Real Estate Services
For further information: Michael Jesus, Kaiser Lachance Communications, 647-725.2520 ext. 234, [email protected]