TORONTO, June 11, 2013 /CNW/ - Canadian employers expect a moderate
hiring climate for the third quarter of 2013, with employers in the
Transportation & Public Utilities sector reporting the strongest 3Q job
prospects, according to the latest results of the Manpower Employment
Outlook Survey, the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey
in the world.
With seasonal variations removed from the data, the Net Employment
Outlook of nine per cent is a slight drop when compared to the Outlook
reported in the previous quarter. This Outlook is also a three
percentage point drop from the Outlook reported during the same time
last year. However, results for the third quarter do represent some
The survey of over 1,900 Canadian employers reveals that 21 per cent of
them plan to increase their payrolls in the third quarter of 2013,
while six per cent anticipate cutbacks. Of those surveyed, 71 per cent
of employers expect to maintain their current staffing levels and two
per cent are unsure.
Job seekers in Western and Atlantic Canada are likely to benefit from a
steady hiring climate from July through September, while they can still
expect some opportunities in Ontario and Quebec. Although some regional
Outlooks are experiencing slight decreases compared to the previous
quarter, job seekers will likely continue to find prospects in the
labour market as employers throughout Canada expect the hiring pace
will be moderate through the summer.
"Overall, a moderate national hiring climate is projected in the coming
quarter," said Byrne Luft, Vice President of Operations for Manpower
Canada. "While most industries are expected to see little change over
the previous quarter, employers in the Transportation & Public
Utilities and Construction sectors anticipate the strongest gains,
especially in Western Canada. This is due in part to continued
government infrastructure spending, in accordance with Canada's
Economic Action Plan 2013."
From this point forward, all data discussed is seasonally adjusted,
unless stated otherwise.
Transportation & Public Utilities
Employers anticipate a solid hiring climate, reporting a Net Employment
Outlook of 23 per cent for the third quarter of 2013. This quarter's
Outlook is a one percentage point increase from the forecast reported
for the previous quarter; it is also a five percentage point increase
from the Outlook reported during the same time last year. The
Transportation & Public Utilities sector reported its strongest Outlook
since the second quarter of 2007. It is the most optimistic Outlook for
any sector in the third quarter of 2013.
Reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 15 per cent, employers in the
Construction sector expect to see a respectable hiring climate for the
upcoming quarter. This forecast is a two percentage point drop from the
Outlook reported during the previous quarter, but a five percentage
point increase over the Outlook reported during the same time last
In the Public Administration sector, employers anticipate an upbeat
hiring environment for the third quarter of 2013, reporting a Net
Employment Outlook of 13 per cent. This is an increase of seven
percentage points when compared to the previous quarter and a six
percentage point increase compared to the Outlook of seven per cent
from the same period last year.
The Net Employment Outlook in the mining sector is a hopeful 12 per cent
for the coming quarter. This is a three percentage point increase over
the prior quarter's Outlook, but a drop of 10 percentage points from
the Outlook reported during the same time last year.
In the Services sector, employers anticipate a steady hiring climate for
the third quarter of 2013, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 11 per
cent. This forecast is relatively stable when compared to the 12 per
cent Outlook reported in the previous quarter and a decrease of two
percentage points versus the same time last year.
Employers report a Net Employment Outlook of nine per cent, indicating a
moderate hiring climate for the upcoming quarter. This Outlook is an
increase of five percentage points from last quarter and a seven
percentage point increase from the Outlook reported last year during
the same time.
Wholesale & Retail Trade
In the Wholesale & Retail Trade industry sector, employers project a
modest hiring climate, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of eight per
cent. This reflects a six percentage point decrease when compared to
the previous quarter's forecast and the Outlook reported during the
same time last year. This is the weakest Outlook reported for the
sector since the fourth quarter of 2009.
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Employers report a Net Employment Outlook of seven per cent for the
third quarter of 2013, indicating a mild hiring climate. This Outlook
is a slight decrease from the forecast of 10 per cent that was reported
for the previous quarter, and a drop of seven percentage points when
compared to the Outlook from the same time last year.
Manufacturing - Durables
The Net Employment Outlook in the Manufacturing - Durables sector is a
modest five per cent. This is a two percentage point drop from the
Outlook last quarter and an eight percentage point decrease when
compared to the Outlook reported in the same quarter last year.
Manufacturing - Non-Durables
In the Manufacturing - Non-Durables industry sector, employers report a
Net Employment Outlook of five per cent indicating a mild hiring
climate for the third quarter of 2013. This Outlook is a one percentage
point decrease from previous quarter, but is one percentage point
stronger than the Outlook reported during the same time last year.
Moderate Regional Hiring Intentions
Survey results this quarter show that job seekers across Canada are
expected to see various amounts of positive hiring activity. Employers
in Western Canada project the most respectable hiring climate for the
coming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 14 per cent.
Employers in Atlantic Canada expect a favourable hiring pace with an
Outlook of 12 per cent, employers in Ontario project an Outlook of nine
per cent and Quebec employers anticipate a modest climate for job
seekers, reporting an Outlook of seven per cent.
Note to Editors
Full survey results for each of the 42 countries and territories
included in this quarter's survey, plus regional and global
comparisons, can be found at http://manpowergroup.com/press/meos_landing.cfm. In addition, all tables and graphs from the full report are available
to be downloaded for use in publication or broadcast from the Manpower
Web site at www.manpower.ca > Employers > Research and Insights.
Note that in Quarter 2 of 2008, the survey adopted the TRAMO-SEATS model
for seasonal adjustment of data. As a result, you may notice some
seasonally adjusted data points change slightly from previous reports.
This model is recommended by the Eurostat department of the European
Union and the European Central Bank and is widely used internationally.
About the Survey
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted quarterly to measure
employers' intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees
in their workforce during the next quarter. It is the most extensive
forward-looking survey of its kind, unparalleled in its size, scope,
longevity and area of focus. The Survey has been running for more than
50 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employment activity
in the world. The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is based on
interviews with nearly 66,000 public and private employers worldwide
and is considered a highly respected economic indicator.
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is currently available for 42
countries and territories: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Belgium,
Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Czech Republic,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Guatemala, Hong Kong, Hungary, India,
Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand,
Norway, Panama, Peru, Poland, Romania, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia,
Spain, South Africa, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Turkey, the United
Kingdom and the United States. The program began in the United States
and Canada in 1962, and the United Kingdom was added in 1966. Mexico
and Ireland launched the survey in 2002, and 13 additional countries
were added to the program in 2003. New Zealand joined the program in
2004, China, India, Switzerland and Taiwan were added in 2005, and
Argentina, Peru, Costa Rica and South Africa joined in 2006. Colombia,
the Czech Republic, Greece, Guatemala, Poland and Romania joined in
2008; Brazil and Hungary joined in 2009; Panama joined in 2010 and
Israel and Slovakia joined in 2011. Finland joins the survey in 2012.
For more information, visit the ManpowerGroup Web site at www.manpowergroup.com and enter the Research Center.
ManpowerGroup™ (NYSE: MAN) is the world leader in innovative workforce
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where talentism is the dominant economic system. Every day,
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SOURCE: Manpower Inc.
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