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      PotashCorp Reports Third-Quarter Earnings of $0.10 per Share


      Nouvelles fournies par

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      27 oct, 2016, 06:00 ET

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      Symbol: POT
      Listed: TSX, NYSE

      Key Highlights

      • Third-quarter earnings of $0.10 per share1
      • Record third-quarter potash sales volumes
      • Canpotex2 sold out for fourth-quarter 2016
      • Full-year 2016 earnings guidance range adjusted to $0.40-$0.45 per share
      • Announced agreement to combine in merger of equals with Agrium Inc. (Agrium)

      CEO Commentary
      "With strong engagement in nearly all key potash markets, we achieved record third-quarter sales volumes, and Canpotex is now sold out through the remainder of the year," said PotashCorp President and Chief Executive Officer Jochen Tilk. "Supported by improved market fundamentals, spot prices have increased by approximately 15 percent from the lows experienced earlier in the year. We will continue with a disciplined approach to our operations and the markets and expect favorable consumption trends and lower inventories to lead to stronger demand in 2017.

      "During the quarter we announced a merger of equals with Agrium to create a world-class integrated global supplier of crop inputs. We believe this transaction will generate significant value for our shareholders, provide multiple paths for growth and enhance our financial flexibility," said Tilk.

      "The support expressed by shareholders has been very encouraging, with early vote results overwhelmingly in favor of the merger and positive recommendations from leading independent proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis. We look forward to realizing the value that is unlocked through this transaction."

      SASKATOON, Oct. 27, 2016 /CNW/ - Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (PotashCorp) reported third-quarter earnings of $0.10 per share ($81 million), including merger-related costs of $0.01 per share ($6 million), which bring our nine-month total to $0.33 per share ($277 million). Results for both periods were down from the $0.34 per share ($282 million) and $1.28 per share ($1.1 billion) earned in 2015's respective periods.

      Gross margin for the quarter was $190 million and $667 million for the first nine months, below 2015 levels of $505 million and $1.9 billion, respectively, primarily due to weaker prices for all three nutrients. Cash from operating activities was $295 million in the third quarter and $907 million for the first nine months of 2016, below last year's comparable totals of $358 million and $1.7 billion, respectively.

      Investments in Arab Potash Company (APC) in Jordan, Israel Chemicals Ltd. (ICL) in Israel, Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) in Chile and Sinofert Holdings Limited (Sinofert) in China contributed $32 million to our quarterly earnings, trailing the $37 million from the prior-year quarter. Contributions for the first nine months of $97 million – partially offset by a non-cash impairment charge of $10 million related to our investment in Sinofert – were below the $134 million realized in the same period in 2015. The market value of our investments in these four publicly traded companies was approximately $4.0 billion, or $5 per PotashCorp share, at market close on October 26, 2016.

      Market Conditions

      Global potash demand strengthened in the third quarter. Shipments to Latin America accelerated ahead of Brazil's key planting season, and the settlement of contracts with customers in China and India led to the re-emergence of deliveries to these markets late in the quarter. Low dealer inventories and anticipation of a strong fall application season supported robust demand in North America. In this environment, global spot prices increased from last quarter's lows.

      Nitrogen markets remained at multi-year lows through the quarter. Benchmark prices were pressured by lower global energy costs and increased supply – including in North America where a number of new projects began ramping up. This impact was most evident in ammonia, while urea prices were more resilient due to relatively strong global demand and reduced exports from China.

      Global phosphate markets were subdued during the third quarter as reduced Chinese exports were largely offset by increased production in other key producing regions. Liquid fertilizer prices declined more significantly as markets adjusted to the deterioration in prices of solid phosphate fertilizer products earlier in the year.

      Potash

      A weaker pricing environment relative to the same periods last year was the primary reason that potash gross margin of $106 million for the quarter and $317 million for the first nine months trailed the 2015 results of $294 million and $1.1 billion, respectively.

      Record sales volumes of 2.5 million tonnes for the third quarter were 16 percent higher than in the same period last year. Nonetheless, volumes of 6.4 million tonnes for the first nine months were 9 percent below the comparable period in 2015 as lack of engagement in key contract markets limited offshore deliveries earlier in the year. Canpotex achieved record third-quarter shipments, with the majority of sales volumes to Latin America (35 percent) and Other Asian markets outside of China and India (32 percent), while India and China accounted for 19 percent and 11 percent, respectively. North American volumes reached a new third-quarter record, up 49 percent from the previous year, while domestic shipments for the first nine months were up 24 percent compared to 2015.

      Our average realized potash price of $150 per tonne for the third quarter was down from $250 per tonne in the same period last year, reflecting the significant price decline experienced in the first half of 2016.

      Per-tonne manufactured cost of goods sold for the quarter averaged $106, down from $113 per tonne in the same period last year. Optimization of production to our lower-cost mines as well as lower royalties more than offset the benefit realized in the comparable period of 2015 when maintenance costs were deferred from the third quarter to the fourth quarter.

      Nitrogen

      Weaker prices for all nitrogen product categories resulted in gross margin of $69 million for the quarter and $306 million for the first nine months, trailing last year's comparable periods by 57 percent and 46 percent, respectively. Our US operations accounted for 65 percent of our nitrogen gross margin for the quarter, with our Trinidad operations providing the remainder.

      Total sales volumes for both the quarter (1.6 million tonnes) and first nine months (4.7 million tonnes) were up from the same periods in 2015 (1.4 million tonnes and 4.4 million tonnes, respectively), reflecting increased production at our expanded Lima facility.

      Our average realized price of $200 per tonne during the quarter declined from $319 per tonne in the same period last year as weaker benchmark pricing pulled down realizations for all our products.

      Cost of goods sold for the quarter averaged $158 per tonne, down from $210 per tonne in 2015's third quarter, driven primarily by lower natural gas costs in Trinidad.

      Phosphate

      In phosphate, weaker prices resulted in gross margin of $15 million for the third quarter and $44 million for the first nine months of 2016, down from $50 million and $180 million, respectively, in the previous year's comparable periods.

      Sales volumes of 0.8 million tonnes for the quarter and 2.0 million tonnes for the first nine months were both relatively flat with the same periods in 2015.

      Our average realized phosphate price for the quarter was $385 per tonne, down from $538 per tonne in the same period last year as prices for all products decreased – most notably liquid fertilizers.

      Cost of goods sold of $366 per tonne for the third quarter was lower than the $475 per tonne in the same period in 2015, primarily due to lower input costs and notable charges taken in the third quarter of last year.

      Financial

      The third-quarter total for provincial mining and other taxes was down 61 percent to $31 million compared to 2015, largely as a result of lower potash prices.

      Lower total earnings resulted in income tax expense declining to $2 million in the third quarter from $90 million during the same period in 2015.

      Potash Market Outlook

      We expect strong customer engagement will continue in the fourth quarter, with a healthy order book in place for fall application in the domestic market and Canpotex fully committed through the remainder of the year. We maintain our 2016 global shipment estimate of 58-61 million tonnes and anticipate fundamentals to remain supportive as we enter 2017.

      In North America, all signs point to another record harvest. Strong affordability and significant nutrient removal are expected to support demand through the final months of 2016. For the full year, we expect shipments in the range of 9.2-9.7 million tonnes, consistent with our previous estimate and above 2015 levels.

      With its substantial agronomic need and favorable crop economics, we expect shipments to Latin America will remain robust for the rest of the year and we have increased our full-year shipment range to 11.0-11.5 million tonnes, slightly above the previous year.

      In China, deliveries under 2016 contracts are expected to support shipments for the balance of the year. We estimate annual shipments in the range of 13.5-14.5 million tonnes, consistent with our previous estimate but below last year's record level. Even with healthy second-half deliveries, we expect strong underlying consumption will keep inventories well below those seen at the beginning of 2016.

      In India, lower farm retail prices are expected to support increased consumption for the remainder of 2016. However, given the slow pace of shipments due to contract delays earlier in the year, we have lowered our range to 3.5-4.0 million tonnes, below 2015 levels. Canpotex has commitments to ship to its customers in this market for the rest of 2016.

      In Other Asian markets, we expect good buyer engagement for the rest of 2016, supported by lower inventories, strong palm oil prices and improved moisture conditions. We have maintained our estimated shipment range of 8.3-8.7 million tonnes, slightly below 2015's total.

      Financial Outlook

      Taking the above market factors into consideration, we have narrowed the guidance range for our potash sales volumes to 8.5-8.7 million tonnes and refined gross margin expectations to $400-$500 million. While signs of a recovery in potash are increasingly visible, most of the benefits from recent improvements are expected to be realized late this year and in 2017.

      In nitrogen and phosphate, weaker prices are expected to affect our results for the rest of 2016. Accordingly, we have tightened our gross margin guidance range to $400-$450 million.

      With greater clarity on the remaining months of 2016, we have refined our estimates for provincial mining and other taxes to a range of 23-25 percent of potash gross margin (excluding $32 million of New Brunswick severance costs) and our range for income from offshore equity investments to $125-$135 million.

      We have lowered our estimate for our effective income tax rate to a range of 14-16 percent, given reduced earnings and a greater proportion of income from lower-tax jurisdictions. Additionally, we have brought down our range for selling and administrative expenses to $215-$225 million due to lower expected corporate expenses related to reduced earnings.

      As a result of these changes, we have narrowed our full-year 2016 earnings guidance range to $0.40-$0.45 per share, which includes first-half notable charges of $0.11 per share primarily related to the suspension of our Picadilly mine in New Brunswick and our share of Canpotex's Prince Rupert project exit costs.

      All annual guidance numbers – including those noted above – are outlined in the table below.

      2016 Guidance

      Earnings per share

      Annual: $0.40-$0.45

      Potash sales volumes

      8.5-8.7 million tonnes

      Potash gross margin

      $400-$500 million

      Nitrogen and phosphate gross margin

      $400-$450 million

      Capital expenditures*

      ~$800 million

      Effective tax rate

      14-16 percent

      Provincial mining and other taxes**

      23-25 percent

      Selling and administrative expenses

      $215-$225 million

      Finance costs

      $210-$220 million

      Income from equity investments***

      $125-$135 million

      Annual foreign exchange rate assumption

      CDN$1.32 per US$

      Annual EPS sensitivity to foreign exchange

      US$ strengthens vs. CDN$ by $0.02 = +$0.01 EPS

      * Does not include capitalized interest

      ** As a percentage of potash gross margin, excluding New Brunswick severance costs

      *** Includes income from dividends and share of equity earnings


      Following a review of best practices in the provision of guidance, in 2017 we will continue to provide annual guidance, including specific elements consistent with past practice, but we will discontinue quarterly earnings per share guidance.

      Notes

      1. All references to per-share amounts pertain to diluted net income per share.
      2. Canpotex Limited (Canpotex), the offshore marketing company for PotashCorp and two other Saskatchewan potash producers.
      3. See reconciliation and description of non-IFRS measures in the attached section titled "Selected Non-IFRS Financial Measures and Reconciliations and Supplemental Information."

      PotashCorp is the world's largest crop nutrient company and plays an integral role in global food production. The company produces the three essential nutrients required to help farmers grow healthier, more abundant crops. With global population rising and diets improving in developing countries, these nutrients offer a responsible and practical solution to meeting the long-term demand for food. PotashCorp is the largest producer, by capacity, of potash and one of the largest producers of nitrogen and phosphate. While agriculture is its primary market, the company also produces products for animal nutrition and industrial uses. Common shares of Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange.

      This release contains "forward-looking statements" (within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) or "forward-looking information"(within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation) that relate to future events or our future performance. These statements can be identified by expressions of belief, expectation or intention, as well as those statements that are not historical fact. These statements often contain words such as "should," "could," "expect," "forecast," "may,""anticipate," "believe," "intend," "estimates," "plans" and similar expressions. These statements are based on certain factors and assumptions as set forth in this document, including with respect to: foreign exchange rates, expected growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities, including the proposed merger of equals with Agrium, and effective tax rates. While we consider these factors and assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently available, they may prove to be incorrect. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. The results or events set forth in forward-looking statements may differ materially from actual results or events. Several factors could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, the following: our proposed merger of equals transaction with Agrium, including the failure to satisfy all required conditions, including required regulatory, Canadian court and securityholder approvals, or to satisfy or obtain waivers with respect to all other closing conditions in a timely manner and on favorable terms or at all; the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of the arrangement agreement; certain costs that we may incur in connection with the proposed merger of equals; certain restrictions in the arrangement agreement on our ability to take action outside the ordinary course of business without the consent of Agrium; the effect of the announcement of the proposed merger of equals on our ability to retain customers, suppliers and personnel and on our operating future business and operations generally; risks related to diversion of management time from ongoing business operations due to the proposed merger of equals; failure to realize the anticipated benefits of the proposed merger of equals and to successfully integrate Agrium and PotashCorp; the risk that our credit ratings may be downgraded or there may be adverse conditions in the credit markets; variations from our assumptions with respect to foreign exchange rates, expected growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities, and effective tax rates; fluctuations in supply and demand in the fertilizer, sulfur and petrochemical markets; changes in competitive pressures, including pricing pressures; risks and uncertainties related to any operating and workforce changes made in response to our industry and the markets we serve, including mine and inventory shutdowns; adverse or uncertain economic conditions and changes in credit and financial markets; economic and political uncertainty around the world; changes in capital markets; the results of sales contract negotiations; unexpected or adverse weather conditions; changes in currency and exchange rates; risks related to reputational loss; the occurrence of a major safety incident; inadequate insurance coverage for a significant liability; inability to obtain relevant permits for our operations; catastrophic events or malicious acts, including terrorism; certain complications that may arise in our mining process, including water inflows; risks and uncertainties related to our international operations and assets; our ownership of non-controlling equity interests in other companies; our prospects to reinvest capital in strategic opportunities and acquisitions; risks associated with natural gas and other hedging activities; security risks related to our information technology systems; imprecision in reserve estimates; costs and availability of transportation and distribution for our raw materials and products, including railcars and ocean freight; changes in, and the effects of, government policies and regulations; earnings and the decisions of taxing authorities which could affect our effective tax rates; increases in the price or reduced availability of the raw materials that we use; our ability to attract, develop, engage and retain skilled employees; strikes or other forms of work stoppage or slowdowns; rates of return on, and the risks associated with, our investments and capital expenditures; timing and impact of capital expenditures; the impact of further innovation; adverse developments in new and pending legal proceedings or government investigations; and violations of our governance and compliance policies. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in more detail under the headings "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Results and Operations and Financial Condition" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015, the joint information circular of the company and Agrium, filed as Exhibit 99.1 to the company's Current Report on Form 8-K dated October 6, 2016 and with Canadian provincial securities commissions, in connection with the proposed merger of equals with Agrium and in other documents and reports subsequently filed by us with the US Securities and Exchange Commission and the Canadian provincial securities commissions. Forward-looking statements are given only as of the date hereof and we disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements in this release, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

      PotashCorp will host a Conference Call on Thursday, October 27, 2016 at 1:00 pm Eastern Time.

      Telephone Conference:    

      Dial-in numbers:



      -  From Canada and the US  

      1-800-597-1419


      -  From Elsewhere             

      1-604-638-5350




      Live Webcast:            

      Visit www.potashcorp.com



      Webcast participants can submit questions to management online from their audio
      player pop-up window.

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

      (in millions of US dollars except as otherwise noted)

      (unaudited)











      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015










      Sales (Note 2)

      $

      1,136

      $

      1,529

      $

      3,398

      $

      4,925

      Freight, transportation and distribution


      (154)


      (128)


      (405)


      (380)

      Cost of goods sold


      (792)


      (896)


      (2,326)


      (2,662)

      Gross Margin


      190


      505


      667


      1,883

      Selling and administrative expenses


      (59)


      (52)


      (167)


      (172)

      Provincial mining and other taxes


      (31)


      (79)


      (88)


      (264)

      Share of earnings of equity-accounted investees


      25


      32


      74


      103

      Dividend income


      8


      7


      24


      38

      Impairment of available-for-sale investment (Note 3)


      -


      -


      (10)


      -

      Other income (expenses) (Note 4)


      5


      8


      (4)


      11

      Operating Income


      138


      421


      496


      1,599

      Finance costs


      (55)


      (49)


      (161)


      (148)

      Income Before Income Taxes


      83


      372


      335


      1,451

      Income taxes (Note 5)


      (2)


      (90)


      (58)


      (382)

      Net Income 

      $

      81

      $

      282

      $

      277

      $

      1,069










      Net Income per Share










      Basic                                                           

      $

      0.10

      $

      0.34

      $

      0.33

      $

      1.28


      Diluted

      $

      0.10

      $

      0.34

      $

      0.33

      $

      1.28










      Dividends Declared per Share 

      $

      0.10

      $

      0.38

      $

      0.60

      $

      1.14










      Weighted Average Shares Outstanding










      Basic

      839,570,000

      834,850,000

      838,661,000

      833,573,000


      Diluted

      840,045,000

      837,454,000

      839,376,000

      837,377,000


      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss)

      (in millions of US dollars)

      (unaudited)











      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30

      (Net of related income taxes)

      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015










      Net Income

      $

      81

      $

      282

      $

      277

      $

      1,069

      Other comprehensive income (loss)










      Items that will not be reclassified to net income:











      Net actuarial loss on defined benefit plans (1)


      -


      -


      (103)


      -


      Items that have been or may be subsequently reclassified to net income:











      Available-for-sale investments (2)












      Net fair value gain (loss) during the period


      15


      (450)


      (88)


      (391)



      Cash flow hedges












      Net fair value loss during the period (3)


      (5)


      (21)


      (2)


      (42)




      Reclassification to income of net loss (4)


      11


      13


      39


      39



      Other


      -


      (3)


      2


      (7)

      Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)


      21


      (461)


      (152)


      (401)

      Comprehensive Income (Loss)

      $

      102

      $

      (179)

      $

      125

      $

      668


      (1) Net of income taxes of $NIL (2015 - $NIL) for the three months ended September 30, 2016 and $60 (2015 - $NIL) for the nine months ended September 30, 2016.

      (2) Available-for-sale investments are comprised of shares in Israel Chemicals Ltd., Sinofert Holdings Limited and other.

      (3) Cash flow hedges are comprised of natural gas derivative instruments and treasury lock derivatives and were net of income taxes of $2 (2015 - $11) for the three months ended September 30, 2016 and $NIL (2015 - $23) for the nine months ended September 30, 2016.

      (4) Net of income taxes of $(6) (2015 - $(7)) for the three months ended September 30, 2016 and $(22) (2015 - $(21)) for the nine months ended September 30, 2016.






      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)





      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow

      (in millions of US dollars)

      (unaudited)











      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015










      Operating Activities









      Net income

      $

      81

      $

      282

      $

      277

      $

      1,069

      Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash provided by 










      operating activities (Note 6)                                    


      166


      223


      631


      652

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital (Note 6)


      48


      (147)


      (1)


      (6)

      Cash provided by operating activities


      295


      358


      907


      1,715










      Investing Activities









      Additions to property, plant and equipment


      (191)


      (280)


      (648)


      (802)

      Other assets and intangible assets


      (1)


      (53)


      (10)


      (68)

      Cash used in investing activities


      (192)


      (333)


      (658)


      (870)










      Financing Activities









      Proceeds from long-term debt obligations


      -


      -


      -


      494

      Repayment of, and finance costs on, long-term debt obligations


      -


      (502)


      (4)


      (502)

      Proceeds from (repayment of) short-term debt obligations


      115


      414


      519


      (122)

      Dividends


      (208)


      (313)


      (727)


      (899)

      Issuance of common shares


      -


      -


      25


      42

      Cash used in financing activities


      (93)


      (401)


      (187)


      (987)

      Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents


      10


      (376)


      62


      (142)

      Cash and Cash Equivalents, Beginning of Period


      143


      449


      91


      215

      Cash and Cash Equivalents, End of Period

      $

      153

      $

      73

      $

      153

      $

      73










      Cash and cash equivalents comprised of:










      Cash

      $

      48

      $

      39

      $

      48

      $

      39


      Short-term investments


      105


      34


      105


      34


      $

      153

      $

      73

      $

      153

      $

      73


      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statement of Changes in Equity

      (in millions of US dollars)

      (unaudited)

























      Accumulated Other Comprehensive (Loss) Income










      Net unrealized

      Net (loss)

      Net



      Total










      gain (loss) on

      gain on

      actuarial



      Accumulated










      available-

      derivatives

      loss on



      Other






      Share

      Contributed

      for-sale

      designated as

      defined



      Comprehensive

      Retained

      Total


      Capital

      Surplus

      investments

      cash flow hedges

      benefit plans (1)

      Other

      (Loss) Income

      Earnings

      Equity




















      Balance - December 31, 2015

      $

      1,747

      $

      230

      $

      77

      $

      (117)

      $

      -

      $

      (10)

      $

      (50)

      $

      6,455

      $

      8,382

      Net income


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      277


      277

      Other comprehensive (loss) income


      -


      -


      (88)


      37


      (103)


      2


      (152)


      -


      (152)

      Dividends declared


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      (506)


      (506)

      Effect of share-based compensation 




















      including issuance of common shares


      35


      (1)


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      34

      Shares issued for dividend 




















      reinvestment plan


      13


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      -


      13

      Transfer of net actuarial loss on




















      defined benefit plans


      -


      -


      -


      -


      103


      -


      103


      (103)


      -

      Balance - September 30, 2016

      $

      1,795

      $

      229

      $

      (11)

      $

      (80)

      $

      -

      $

      (8)

      $

      (99)

      $

      6,123

      $

      8,048


      (1) Any amounts incurred during a period are closed out to retained earnings at each period-end. Therefore, no balance exists at the beginning or end of period.


      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position

      (in millions of US dollars except share amounts)

      (unaudited)







      September 30

      December 31

      As at

      2016

      2015






      Assets






      Current assets







      Cash and cash equivalents

      $

      153

      $

      91



      Receivables


      575


      640



      Inventories


      720


      749



      Prepaid expenses and other current assets


      62


      73



      1,510


      1,553


      Non-current assets







      Property, plant and equipment


      13,279


      13,212



      Investments in equity-accounted investees


      1,223


      1,243



      Available-for-sale investments (Note 3)


      886


      984



      Other assets


      271


      285



      Intangible assets


      182


      192

      Total Assets

      $

      17,351

      $

      17,469











      Liabilities






      Current liabilities







      Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt

      $

      1,036

      $

      517



      Payables and accrued charges


      717


      1,146



      Current portion of derivative instrument liabilities


      58


      84



      1,811


      1,747


      Non-current liabilities







      Long-term debt


      3,714


      3,710



      Derivative instrument liabilities


      70


      109



      Deferred income tax liabilities


      2,407


      2,438



      Pension and other post-retirement benefit liabilities (Note 7)


      621


      431



      Asset retirement obligations and accrued environmental costs


      610


      574



      Other non-current liabilities and deferred credits


      70


      78

      Total Liabilities


      9,303


      9,087






      Shareholders' Equity






      Share capital


      1,795


      1,747



      Unlimited authorization of common shares without par value; issued and







      outstanding 839,643,474 and 836,540,151 at September 30, 2016 and







      December 31, 2015, respectively






      Contributed surplus


      229


      230


      Accumulated other comprehensive loss


      (99)


      (50)


      Retained earnings


      6,123


      6,455

      Total Shareholders' Equity


      8,048


      8,382

      Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

      $

      17,351

      $

      17,469


      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.
      Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
      For the Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2016
      (in millions of US dollars except as otherwise noted)  
      (unaudited)

      1. Significant Accounting Policies

      With its subsidiaries, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. ("PCS") — together known as "PotashCorp" or "the company" except to the extent the context otherwise requires — forms an integrated fertilizer and related industrial and feed products company. The company's accounting policies are in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IFRS"). The accounting policies and methods of computation used in preparing these unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements are consistent with those used in the preparation of the company's 2015 annual consolidated financial statements.

      These unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of PCS and its subsidiaries; however, they do not include all disclosures normally provided in annual consolidated financial statements and should be read in conjunction with the company's 2015 annual consolidated financial statements. Further, while the financial figures included in this preliminary interim results announcement have been computed in accordance with IFRS applicable to interim periods, this announcement does not contain sufficient information to constitute an interim financial report as that term is defined in International Accounting Standard ("IAS") 34, "Interim Financial Reporting". The company expects to publish an interim financial report that complies with IAS 34 in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q in November 2016.

      In management's opinion, the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements include all adjustments necessary to present fairly such information. Interim results are not necessarily indicative of the results expected for the fiscal year.

      2. Segment Information

      The company has three reportable operating segments: potash, nitrogen and phosphate. The accounting policies of the segments are the same as those described in Note 1. Inter-segment sales are made under terms that approximate market value.



      Three Months Ended September 30, 2016



      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated













      Sales - third party


      $

      453

      $

      333

      $

      350


      -

      $

      1,136

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party



      (73)


      (28)


      (53)


      -


      (154)

      Net sales - third party



      380


      305


      297


      -



      Cost of goods sold - third party



      (274)


      (243)


      (275)


      -


      (792)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)



      -


      7


      (7)


      -


      -

      Gross margin



      106


      69


      15


      -


      190

      Depreciation and amortization



      (59)


      (53)


      (53)


      (18)


      (183)

      Cash outflows for additions to property, 













      plant and equipment



      94


      44


      54


      (1)


      191


      (1) Inter-segment net sales were $14.















      Three Months Ended September 30, 2015



      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated













      Sales - third party


      $

      603

      $

      460

      $

      466

      $

      -

      $

      1,529

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party



      (55)


      (23)


      (50)


      -


      (128)

      Net sales - third party



      548


      437


      416


      -



      Cost of goods sold - third party



      (254)


      (292)


      (350)


      -


      (896)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)



      -


      16


      (16)


      -


      -

      Gross margin



      294


      161


      50


      -


      505

      Depreciation and amortization



      (52)


      (48)


      (56)


      (16)


      (172)

      Cash outflows for additions to property, 













      plant and equipment



      127


      102


      37


      14


      280


      (1) Inter-segment net sales were $25.















      Nine Months Ended September 30, 2016



      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated













      Sales - third party


      $

      1,227

      $

      1,144

      $

      1,027


      -

      $

      3,398

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party



      (196)


      (88)


      (121)


      -


      (405)

      Net sales - third party



      1,031


      1,056


      906


      -



      Cost of goods sold - third party



      (714)


      (777)


      (835)


      -


      (2,326)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)



      -


      27


      (27)


      -


      -

      Gross margin



      317


      306


      44


      -


      667

      Depreciation and amortization



      (159)


      (159)


      (165)


      (35)


      (518)

      Share of Canpotex's (2) Prince Rupert 













      project exit costs



      (33)


      -


      -


      -


      (33)

      Termination benefit costs



      (32)


      -


      -


      -


      (32)

      Impairment of property, plant and equipment



      -


      -


      (27)


      -


      (27)

      Cash outflows for additions to property, 













      plant and equipment



      259


      178


      142


      69


      648


      (1) Inter-segment net sales were $48.

      (2) Canpotex Limited ("Canpotex").















      Nine Months Ended September 30, 2015



      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated













      Sales - third party


      $

      2,089

      $

      1,501

      $

      1,335

      $

      -

      $

      4,925

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party



      (178)


      (73)


      (129)


      -


      (380)

      Net sales - third party



      1,911


      1,428


      1,206


      -



      Cost of goods sold - third party



      (772)


      (905)


      (985)


      -


      (2,662)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)



      -


      41


      (41)


      -


      -

      Gross margin



      1,139


      564


      180


      -


      1,883

      Depreciation and amortization



      (170)


      (141)


      (181)


      (25)


      (517)

      Cash outflows for additions to property, 













      plant and equipment



      341


      285


      127


      49


      802


      (1) Inter-segment net sales were $62.

      3. Available-for-Sale Investments

      The company assesses at the end of each reporting period whether there is objective evidence of impairment. A significant or prolonged decline in the fair value of the investment below its cost would be evidence that the asset is impaired. If objective evidence of impairment exists, the impaired amount (i.e. the unrealized loss) is recognized in net income; any subsequent reversals would be recognized in other comprehensive income (loss) ("OCI") and would not flow back into net income. Any subsequent decline in fair value below the carrying amount at the impairment date would represent a further impairment to be recognized in net income.

      At September 30, 2016, the company assessed whether there was objective evidence that its investment in Israel Chemicals Ltd. ("ICL") was impaired. The fair value of the investment, recorded in the condensed consolidated statements of financial position, was $684 compared to the cost of $704. Factors considered in assessing impairment included the length of time and extent to which fair value had been below cost, and current financial and market conditions specific to ICL. The company concluded that objective evidence of impairment did not exist as at September 30, 2016 and, as a result, the unrealized holding loss of $20 was included in accumulated OCI. Impairment will be assessed again in future reporting periods if the fair value is below cost. The fair value was determined through the market value of ICL shares on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange.

      During 2012, the company concluded its investment in Sinofert Holdings Limited ("Sinofert") was impaired due to the significance by which fair value was below cost. During 2014, the company concluded its investment in Sinofert was further impaired due to the fair value declining below the carrying amount of $238 at the previous impairment date. As a result, impairment losses of $341 and $38 were recognized in net income during 2012 and 2014, respectively. At June 30, 2016, the company concluded its investment in Sinofert was further impaired due to the fair value declining below the carrying amount of $200 at the previous impairment date. As a result, an impairment loss of $10 was recognized in net income during the nine months ended September 30, 2016. The fair value was determined through the market value of Sinofert shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

      Changes in fair value, and related accounting, for the company's investment in Sinofert since December 31, 2014 were as follows:






      Impact of Unrealized Loss on:


      Fair Value

      Unrealized Loss

      OCI and
      AOCI (1)

      Net Income
      and Retained
      Earnings

      Balance — December 31, 2014

      $

      252

      $

      (327)

      $

      52

      $

      (379)

      Increase in fair value


      14


      14


      14


      -

      Balance — December 31, 2015

      $

      266

      $

      (313)

      $

      66

      $

      (379)

      Decrease in fair value


      (51)


      (51)


      (51)


      -

      Balance — March 31, 2016

      $

      215

      $

      (364)

      $

      15

      $

      (379)

      Decrease in fair value and recognition of impairment 


      (25)


      (25)


      (15)


      (10)

      Balance — June 30, 2016

      $

      190

      $

      (389)

      $

      -

      $

      (389)

      Increase in fair value


      8


      8


      8


      -

      Balance — September 30, 2016

      $

      198

      $

      (381)

      $

      8

      $

      (389)










      (1) Accumulated other comprehensive income ("AOCI").









      4. Other Income (Expenses)







      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended







      September 30

      September 30







      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Foreign exchange gain (loss)






      $

      5

      $

      24

      $

      (14)

      $

      36

      Other (expenses) income







      -


      (16)


      10


      (25)







      $

      5

      $

      8

      $

      (4)

      $

      11

      5. Income Taxes

      A separate estimated average annual effective tax rate was determined for each taxing jurisdiction and applied individually to the interim period pre-tax income of each jurisdiction.



      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended



      September 30

      September 30



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Income tax expense


      $

      2

      $

      90

      $

      58

      $

      382

      Actual effective tax rate on ordinary earnings



      16%


      27%


      20%


      27%

      Actual effective tax rate including discrete items



      2%


      24%


      17%


      26%

      Discrete tax adjustments that impacted the tax rate 


      $

      (11)

      $

      (11)

      $

      (11)

      $

      (5)

      Significant items to note include the following:

      • The actual effective tax rate on ordinary earnings for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2016 decreased compared to the same periods last year due to significantly lower earnings in higher tax jurisdictions.

      • In second-quarter 2016, a $10 discrete non-tax deductible impairment of the company's available-for-sale investment in Sinofert was recorded. This increased the actual effective tax rate including discrete items for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 by one percentage point.

      • In third-quarter 2015, a current tax recovery of $17 was recorded upon the conclusion of a tax authority audit.

      6. Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow


      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Reconciliation of cash provided by operating activities









      Net income

      $

      81

      $

      282

      $

      277

      $

      1,069

      Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash provided by










      operating activities











      Depreciation and amortization


      183


      172


      518


      517



      Impairment of property, plant and equipment


      -


      -


      27


      -



      Net (undistributed) distributed earnings of equity-accounted












      investees                                                                            


      (23)


      (31)


      21


      (47)



      Impairment of available-for-sale investment (Note 3)


      -


      -


      10


      -



      Share-based compensation


      3


      1


      8


      20



      Provision for deferred income tax


      6


      77


      5


      149



      Pension and other post-retirement benefits


      8


      11


      36


      27



      Asset retirement obligations and accrued environmental costs


      (12)


      5


      13


      (19)



      Other long-term liabilities and miscellaneous


      1


      (12)


      (7)


      5



      Subtotal of adjustments


      166


      223


      631


      652












      Changes in non-cash operating working capital











      Receivables


      (66)


      1


      79


      86



      Inventories


      63


      (18)


      20


      (78)



      Prepaid expenses and other current assets


      6


      (19)


      9


      (16)



      Payables and accrued charges


      45


      (111)


      (109)


      2



      Subtotal of changes in non-cash operating working capital


      48


      (147)


      (1)


      (6)

      Cash provided by operating activities

      $

      295

      $

      358

      $

      907

      $

      1,715










      Supplemental cash flow disclosure











      Interest paid

      $

      31

      $

      37

      $

      124

      $

      130



      Income taxes (recovered) paid

      $

      (3)

      $

      85

      $

      43

      $

      150

      7. Pension and Other Post-Retirement Benefits

      A remeasurement of the defined benefit plan assets and liabilities was performed at June 30, 2016. Due to a change in the discount rate and actual return on plan assets, the company's defined benefit pension and other post-retirement benefit obligations increased by $184, plan assets increased by $21 and deferred income taxes decreased by $60. As a result, the company recorded net actuarial losses on defined benefit plan obligations of $103 in OCI, which was recognized immediately in retained earnings at June 30, 2016. There was no such remeasurement during the three months ended September 30, 2016.

      The net impact on assets and liabilities within the condensed consolidated statements of financial position at June 30, 2016 was as follows:







      (Decrease)
      Increase

      Non-current assets









      Other assets






      $

      (9)

      Non-current liabilities









      Deferred income tax liabilities







      (60)


      Pension and other post-retirement benefit liabilities







      154

      The discount rate used to determine the benefit obligation for the company's significant plans at June 30, 2016 was 3.65 percent (December 31, 2015 — 4.35 percent).

      8. Share-Based Compensation

      During the nine months ended September 30, 2016, the company issued stock options and performance share units ("PSUs") to eligible employees under the 2016 Long-Term Incentive Plan ("LTIP"). Information on stock options and PSUs is summarized below:



      2016 LTIP

      Expense for all share-based compensation plans




      Units






      Outstanding as at

      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended




      September 30,

      September 30

      September 30



      Units Granted

      2016

      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Stock options


      3,099,913

      3,071,064

      $

      2

      $

      4

      $

      8

      $

      20

      Share-settled PSUs


      612,192

      612,192


      1


      -


      3


      -

      Cash-settled PSUs


      1,004,548

      1,004,548


      3


      -


      7


      -





      $

      6

      $

      4

      $

      18

      $

      20

      Grant date fair value per unit for stock options and share-settled PSUs is $2.04 and $17.19, respectively.

      Stock Options

      Under the LTIP, stock options generally vest and become exercisable on the third anniversary of the grant date, subject to continuous employment or retirement, and have a maximum term of 10 years. The weighted average fair value of stock options granted was estimated as of the date of grant using the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model with the following weighted average assumptions:

      Exercise price per option






      $

      16.20

      Expected annual dividend per share






      $

      1.00

      Expected volatility







      30%

      Risk-free interest rate







      1.06%

      Expected life of options







      5.7 years

      Performance Share Units

      Currently, PSUs granted under the LTIP are comprised of three tranches, with each tranche vesting based on the achievement of performance metrics over separate performance periods ranging from one to three years, and will be settled in shares for grantees who are subject to the company's share ownership guidelines and in cash for all other grantees. PSUs will vest based on performance metrics comprising the relative ranking of the company's total shareholder return compared with a specified peer group and the company's cash flow return on investment compared with its weighted average cost of capital. Compensation cost is measured based on the grant date fair value of the units, adjusted for the company's best estimate of the outcome of non-market vesting conditions at the end of each period, for share-settled PSUs, and on period-end fair value of the awards for cash-settled PSUs. The company uses a Monte Carlo simulation model to estimate the outcome of relative total shareholder return.

      9. Proposed Transaction with Agrium

      On September 11, 2016, the company entered into an Arrangement Agreement with Agrium Inc. ("Agrium") pursuant to which the company and Agrium have agreed to combine their businesses (the "Proposed Transaction") in a merger of equals transaction to be implemented by way of a plan of arrangement under the Canada Business Corporations Act. The Proposed Transaction is currently anticipated to be completed in mid-2017 and is subject to customary closing conditions, including shareholder, court and other regulatory approvals.

      Upon the closing of the Proposed Transaction, the company and Agrium will become indirect, wholly owned subsidiaries of a new parent company. PotashCorp shareholders will own approximately 52 percent of the new parent, and Agrium shareholders will own approximately 48 percent.

      During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2016, the company incurred $8 of costs in connection with the Proposed Transaction. These costs primarily included financial advisory, legal and consulting fees.

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Financial Data

      (unaudited)











      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015










      Potash Sales (tonnes - thousands)










      Manufactured Product











      North America


      1,019


      684


      2,647


      2,132



      Offshore


      1,511


      1,491


      3,788


      4,904


      Manufactured Product


      2,530


      2,175


      6,435


      7,036










      Potash Net Sales 










      (US $ millions)











      Sales

      $

      453

      $

      603

      $

      1,227

      $

      2,089



      Freight, transportation and distribution


      (73)


      (55)


      (196)


      (178)



      Net Sales

      $

      380

      $

      548

      $

      1,031

      $

      1,911











      Manufactured Product











      North America

      $

      158

      $

      194

      $

      463

      $

      700



      Offshore


      221


      351


      561


      1,199


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product


      1


      3


      7


      12


      Net Sales

      $

      380

      $

      548

      $

      1,031

      $

      1,911










      Manufactured Product










      Average Realized Sales Price per Tonne











      North America

      $

      155

      $

      283

      $

      175

      $

      328



      Offshore

      $

      146

      $

      235

      $

      148

      $

      244



      Average

      $

      150

      $

      250

      $

      159

      $

      270


      Cost of Goods Sold per Tonne

      $

      (106)

      $

      (113)

      $

      (107)

      $

      (106)


      Gross Margin per Tonne

      $

      44

      $

      137

      $

      52

      $

      164











      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Financial Data

      (unaudited)











      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015










      Average Natural Gas Cost in Production per MMBtu

      $

      3.26

      $

      4.75

      $

      3.32

      $

      4.85

      Nitrogen Sales (tonnes - thousands)










      Manufactured Product











      Ammonia (1)


      576


      551


      1,720


      1,661



      Urea


      290


      216


      857


      740



      Solutions/Nitric acid/Ammonium nitrate


      700


      659


      2,160


      1,966


      Manufactured Product


      1,566


      1,426


      4,737


      4,367











      Fertilizer sales tonnes (1)


      542


      479


      1,755


      1,450


      Industrial/Feed sales tonnes


      1,024


      947


      2,982


      2,917


      Manufactured Product


      1,566


      1,426


      4,737


      4,367










      Nitrogen Net Sales 










      (US $ millions)











      Sales - third party

      $

      333

      $

      460

      $

      1,144

      $

      1,501



      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party


      (28)


      (23)


      (88)


      (73)



      Net sales - third party


      305


      437


      1,056


      1,428



      Inter-segment net sales


      14


      25


      48


      62



      Net Sales

      $

      319

      $

      462

      $

      1,104

      $

      1,490











      Manufactured Product











      Ammonia (2)

      $

      145

      $

      240

      $

      510


      $753



      Urea


      66


      76


      223


      271



      Solutions/Nitric acid/Ammonium nitrate


      103


      140


      355


      435


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product (3)


      5


      6


      16


      31


      Net Sales

      $

      319

      $

      462

      $

      1,104

      $

      1,490











      Fertilizer net sales (2)

      $

      100

      $

      151

      $

      402

      $

      488


      Industrial/Feed net sales


      213


      305


      686


      971


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product (3)


      6


      6


      16


      31


      Net Sales

      $

      319

      $

      462

      $

      1,104

      $

      1,490










      Manufactured Product










      Average Realized Sales Price per Tonne











      Ammonia

      $

      252

      $

      434

      $

      296

      $

      453



      Urea

      $

      226

      $

      352

      $

      260

      $

      366



      Solutions/Nitric acid/Ammonium nitrate

      $

      148

      $

      212

      $

      165

      $

      221



      Average

      $

      200

      $

      319

      $

      230

      $

      334



      Fertilizer average price per Tonne

      $

      187

      $

      314

      $

      229

      $

      336



      Industrial/Feed average price per Tonne

      $

      208

      $

      322

      $

      230

      $

      333



      Average

      $

      200

      $

      319

      $

      230

      $

      334


      Cost of Goods Sold per Tonne

      $

      (158)

      $

      (210)

      $

      (168)

      $

      (208)


      Gross Margin per Tonne

      $

      42

      $

      109

      $

      62

      $

      126










      (1) Includes inter-segment ammonia sales (tonnes - thousands)


      37


      43


      116


      113

      (2) Includes inter-segment ammonia net sales 

      $

      13

      $

      25

      $

      47

      $

      61

      (3) Includes inter-segment other miscellaneous and purchased

      $

      1

      $

      -

      $

      1

      $

      1

      product net sales











      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Financial Data

      (unaudited)











      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015










      Phosphate Sales (tonnes - thousands)










      Manufactured Product











      Fertilizer


      537


      485


      1,248


      1,239



      Feed and Industrial


      232


      277


      750


      853


      Manufactured Product


      769


      762


      1,998


      2,092










      Phosphate Net Sales 










      (US $ millions)











      Sales

      $

      350

      $

      466

      $

      1,027

      $

      1,335



      Freight, transportation and distribution


      (53)


      (50)


      (121)


      (129)



      Net Sales

      $

      297

      $

      416

      $

      906

      $

      1,206











      Manufactured Product











      Fertilizer

      $

      168

      $

      230

      $

      467

      $

      608



      Feed and Industrial


      128


      179


      435


      550


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product


      1


      7


      4


      48


      Net Sales

      $

      297

      $

      416

      $

      906

      $

      1,206










      Manufactured Product










      Average Realized Sales Price per Tonne











      Fertilizer

      $

      313

      $

      475

      $

      374

      $

      491



      Feed and Industrial

      $

      554

      $

      647

      $

      580

      $

      645



      Average

      $

      385

      $

      538

      $

      451

      $

      554


      Cost of Goods Sold per Tonne

      $

      (366)

      $

      (475)

      $

      (430)

      $

      (471)


      Gross Margin per Tonne

      $

      19

      $

      63

      $

      21

      $

      83

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Additional Data

      (unaudited)






      Exchange Rate (Cdn$/US$)








      2016

      2015






      December 31




      1.3840

      September 30



      1.3117

      1.3394

      Third-quarter average conversion rate



      1.2980

      1.2794







      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended


      September 30

      September 30


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Production





      Potash production (KCl Tonnes - thousands)

      1,557

      2,131

      6,060

      7,130

      Potash shutdown weeks (1)

      8

      8

      21

      13

      Nitrogen production (N Tonnes - thousands)

      799

      734

      2,359

      2,279

      Ammonia operating rate

      90%

      83%

      88%

      87%

      Phosphate production (P2O5 Tonnes - thousands)

      399

      442

      1,107

      1,187

      Phosphate P2O5 operating rate 

      84%

      93%

      78%

      83%






      Shareholders 





      PotashCorp's total shareholder return

      2%

      -33%

      1%

      -40%






      Customers





      Product tonnes involved in customer complaints (thousands)

      21

      30

      83

      51






      Community





      Taxes and royalties ($ millions) (2)

      40

      119

      199

      576






      Employees





      Annualized employee turnover rate (3)

      3%

      4%

      3%

      4%






      Safety





      Total site recordable injury rate (per 200,000 work hours) (4)

      0.92

      1.29

      0.92

      1.02






      Environment





      Environmental incidents (5)

      5

      6

      17

      16














      September 30,

      December 31,

      As at



      2016

      2015






      Number of employees 






      Potash



      2,335

      2,689


      Nitrogen



      818

      812


      Phosphate



      1,483

      1,438


      Other



      463

      456


      Total                                                                                   



      5,099

      5,395

      (1) Represents weeks of full production shutdown; excludes the impact of any periods of reduced operating rates, planned routine annual maintenance shutdowns and suspension of Picadilly potash operations.

      (2) Taxes and royalties = current income tax expense - investment tax credits - realized excess tax benefit related to share-based compensation + potash production tax + resource surcharge + royalties + municipal taxes + other miscellaneous taxes (calculated on an accrual basis).

      (3) Excluding retirements and workforce changes related to suspension of Picadilly potash operations.

      (4) Total site includes PotashCorp employees, contractors and others on site (as defined in our 2015 Annual Integrated Report).

      (5) Total of reportable quantity releases, permit excursions and provincial reportable spills (as defined in our 2015 Annual Integrated Report).

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.
      Selected Non-IFRS Financial Measures and Reconciliations and Supplemental Information
      (in millions of US dollars except percentage amounts)
      (unaudited)

      The following information is included for convenience only. Generally, a non-IFRS financial measure is a numerical measure of a company's performance, cash flows or financial position that either excludes or includes amounts that are not normally excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS. EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, cash flow prior to working capital changes and free cash flow are not measures of financial performance (nor do they have standardized meanings) under IFRS. In evaluating these measures, investors should consider that the methodology applied in calculating such measures may differ among companies and analysts.

      The company uses both IFRS and certain non-IFRS measures to assess performance. Management believes these non-IFRS measures provide useful supplemental information to investors in order that they may evaluate PotashCorp's financial performance using the same measures as management. Management believes that, as a result, the investor is afforded greater transparency in assessing the financial performance of the company. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered as a substitute for, nor superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.

      A.     EBITDA, ADJUSTED EBITDA AND ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGIN

      Set forth below is a reconciliation of "EBITDA" and "adjusted EBITDA" to net income and "adjusted EBITDA margin" to net income as a percentage of sales, the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS.



      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended



      September 30

      September 30



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Net income


      $

      81

      $

      282

      $

      277

      $

      1,069

      Finance costs



      55


      49


      161


      148

      Income taxes



      2


      90


      58


      382

      Depreciation and amortization 



      183


      172


      518


      517

      EBITDA


      $

      321

      $

      593

      $

      1,014

      $

      2,116

      Share of Canpotex's Prince Rupert project exit costs



      -


      -


      33


      -

      Termination benefit costs



      -


      -


      32


      -

      Impairment of property, plant and equipment



      -


      -


      27


      -

      Impairment of available-for-sale investment



      -


      -


      10


      -

      Proposed Transaction costs



      8


      -


      8


      -

      Adjusted EBITDA


      $

      329

      $

      593

      $

      1,124

      $

      2,116

      EBITDA is calculated as net income before finance costs, income taxes, and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated as net income before finance costs, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, exit costs, termination benefit costs, certain impairment charges and Proposed Transaction costs. PotashCorp uses EBITDA as a supplemental financial measure of its operational performance. Management believes EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA to be important measures as they exclude the effects of items which primarily reflect the impact of long-term investment and financing decisions, rather than the performance of the company's day-to-day operations. As compared to net income according to IFRS, these measures are limited in that they do not reflect the periodic costs of certain capitalized tangible and intangible assets used in generating revenues in the company's business, the charges associated with impairments, termination benefit costs, exit costs or Proposed Transaction costs. Management evaluates such items through other financial measures such as capital expenditures and cash flow provided by operating activities. The company believes that these measurements are useful to measure a company's ability to service debt and to meet other payment obligations or as a valuation measurement.



      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended



      September 30

      September 30



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Sales


      $

      1,136

      $

      1,529

      $

      3,398

      $

      4,925

      Freight, transportation and distribution



      (154)


      (128)


      (405)


      (380)

      Net sales


      $

      982

      $

      1,401

      $

      2,993

      $

      4,545











      Net income as a percentage of sales



      7%


      18%


      8%


      22%

      Adjusted EBITDA margin



      34%


      42%


      38%


      47%

      Adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated as adjusted EBITDA divided by net sales (sales less freight, transportation and distribution). Management believes comparing adjusted EBITDA to net sales earned (net of costs to deliver product) is an important indicator of efficiency. In addition to the limitations given above in using adjusted EBITDA as compared to net income, adjusted EBITDA margin as compared to net income as a percentage of sales is also limited in that freight, transportation and distribution costs are incurred and valued independently of sales; adjusted EBITDA also includes share of earnings of equity-accounted investees whose sales are not included in consolidated sales. Management evaluates these items individually on the consolidated statements of income.

      B.     CASH FLOW

      Set forth below is a reconciliation of "cash flow prior to working capital changes" and "free cash flow" to cash provided by operating activities, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS.



      Three Months Ended

      Nine Months Ended



      September 30

      September 30



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Cash flow prior to working capital changes 


      $

      247

      $

      505

      $

      908

      $

      1,721

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital











      Receivables



      (66)


      1


      79


      86


      Inventories



      63


      (18)


      20


      (78)


      Prepaid expenses and other current assets



      6


      (19)


      9


      (16)


      Payables and accrued charges



      45


      (111)


      (109)


      2

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital



      48


      (147)


      (1)


      (6)

      Cash provided by operating activities


      $

      295

      $

      358

      $

      907

      $

      1,715

      Additions to property, plant and equipment



      (191)


      (280)


      (648)


      (802)

      Other assets and intangible assets



      (1)


      (53)


      (10)


      (68)

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital



      (48)


      147


      1


      6

      Free cash flow 


      $

      55

      $

      172

      $

      250

      $

      851

      Management uses cash flow prior to working capital changes as a supplemental financial measure in its evaluation of liquidity. Management believes that adjusting principally for the swings in non-cash working capital items due to seasonality or other timing issues assists management in making long-term liquidity assessments. The company also believes that this measurement is useful as a measure of liquidity or as a valuation measurement.

      The company uses free cash flow as a supplemental financial measure in its evaluation of liquidity and financial strength. Management believes that adjusting principally for the swings in non-cash operating working capital items due to seasonality or other timing issues, additions to property, plant and equipment, and changes to other assets assists management in the long-term assessment of liquidity and financial strength. Management also believes that this measurement is useful as an indicator of its ability to service its debt, meet other payment obligations and make strategic investments. Readers should be aware that free cash flow does not represent residual cash flow available for discretionary expenditures.

      C.     ITEMS INCLUDED IN GROSS MARGIN


      Three Months Ended September 30, 2016


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      Consolidated

      Gross margin

      $

      106

      $

      69

      $

      15

      $

      190

      Items included in the above:










      Share of Canpotex's Prince Rupert project exit costs


      -


      -


      -


      -


      Termination benefit costs


      -


      -


      -


      -


      Impairment of property, plant and equipment


      -


      -


      -


      -











      Nine Months Ended September 30, 2016


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      Consolidated

      Gross margin

      $

      317

      $

      306

      $

      44

      $

      667

      Items included in the above:










      Share of Canpotex's Prince Rupert project exit costs


      (33)


      -


      -


      (33)


      Termination benefit costs


      (32)


      -


      -


      (32)


      Impairment of property, plant and equipment


      -


      -


      (27)


      (27)

      SOURCE Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Investors: Denita Stann, Senior Vice President, Investor and Public Relations, Phone: (306) 933-8521, Fax: (306) 933-8844, Email: [email protected]; Media: Randy Burton, Director, Public Relations and Communications, Phone: (306) 933-8849, Fax: (306) 933-8844, Email: [email protected], Website: www.potashcorp.com

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