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      PotashCorp Announces Preliminary Full-Year 2016 Earnings


      Nouvelles fournies par

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      26 janv, 2017, 06:00 ET

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      Listed: TSX, NYSE
      Symbol: POT

      Key Highlights

      • Fourth-quarter earnings of $0.07 per share1; full-year total of $0.40 per share
      • Annual cash provided by operating activities of $1.3 billion
      • Record second-half Canpotex2 shipments in 2016; fully committed for first-quarter 2017
      • Initiated Rocanville ramp-up; expect company-wide potash cost of goods sold to decline by approximately $10 per-tonne in 2017
      • Full-year 2017 guidance of $0.35-$0.55 per share, including merger-related costs of $0.05 per share
      • Currently undergoing an impairment assessment of the carrying value of certain assets, with a particular focus on phosphate; the impact of that review is not reflected in the preliminary results

      CEO Commentary
      "Strong customer engagement and positive potash pricing trends from the second half of 2016 are expected to carry into the new year," said PotashCorp President and Chief Executive Officer Jochen Tilk. "Supported by healthy underlying consumption, lower global inventories and with Canpotex fully committed for the first quarter of 2017, we see a continued potash recovery. Balancing this constructive market view is a more cautious second-half outlook for our nitrogen earnings and expected challenges for our phosphate results.

      "We continue to proactively position the company for opportunity and resiliency in any market conditions. Our multi-year potash expansion program was completed in 2016 and we are now in the process of ramping up Rocanville, our lowest cost operation. Consistent with our long-held strategy, we have aligned our operating capability with expected market conditions. This includes operational changes recently initiated at Cory – as well as the previously announced suspension of operations in New Brunswick – to optimize production to our lowest cost facilities.

      "Our work on the merger of equals with Agrium continues. The regulatory review and integration processes are advancing, and we expect the transaction will close mid-2017. Our Board and management team look forward to the opportunity to deliver significant value for our shareholders through this transaction, including up to $500 million of annual operating synergies," said Tilk.

      SASKATOON, Jan. 26, 2017 /CNW/ - Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (PotashCorp) announced preliminary unaudited financial information, and reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.07 per share ($59 million), bringing earnings for the year to $0.40 per share ($336 million). Results were down from the $0.24 per share ($201 million) and $1.52 per share ($1.3 billion) earned in the respective periods of 2015.

      Gross margin for the quarter ($183 million) and the year ($850 million) were well below 2015 levels, primarily due to weaker prices for all three nutrients. Cash from operating activities was $353 million in the fourth quarter and $1.3 billion for the year, also well below last year's comparable totals.

      Investments in Arab Potash Company (APC) in Jordan, Israel Chemicals Ltd. (ICL) in Israel and Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) in Chile contributed $28 million to our quarterly earnings, exceeding the $27 million they generated in the fourth quarter of 2015. Our earnings for the year from these investments – plus a dividend from Sinofert Holdings Limited (Sinofert) in China – totaled $125 million. This total was partially offset by a $10 million non-cash impairment charge earlier in the year related to our investment in Sinofert and trailed the $162 million realized in 2015. The market value of our investments in these four publicly traded companies was approximately $4.5 billion, or $5 per PotashCorp share, at market close on January 25, 2017.

      During the quarter, we determined that the carrying value of certain assets should be assessed for potential impairment. This assessment is ongoing, with a particular focus on phosphate. If any impairment charge is necessary, we would not consider it to be significant to our operational outlook. Any required charge would be a non-cash adjustment only. As a result, these financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2016 are preliminary, do not reflect the impact of any such potential required impairment charge, and remain subject to the completion of our financial closing procedures and audit by our independent auditors. We expect to complete our impairment assessment no later than late February, when we will file our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, which will include our audited consolidated financial statements.

      Market Conditions
      With consistent buyer engagement, potash demand was strong in the fourth quarter. The pace of shipments to China and India increased following deferred contracts earlier in the year, and engagement in key spot markets remained steady – including in North America, where demand was supported by a healthy fall application season. Against this backdrop, spot prices were modestly higher compared to the trailing quarter.

      With tighter supply and relatively stable demand, nitrogen prices rebounded from multi-year lows. The most pronounced recovery occurred in urea markets as increased Chinese production costs and lower exports drove global benchmark prices higher. Ammonia prices increased late in the quarter as production curtailments, plant turnarounds and gas availability issues in key exporting regions reduced product availability.

      Global phosphate markets remained subdued during the fourth quarter as record Chinese exports and seasonally slow demand in India offset stronger shipments to Latin America. Prices for most products were generally stable, but remained well below those of the previous year.

      Potash
      Potash gross margin of $120 million for the quarter and $437 million for the year reflected a lower-price environment, as results in both periods trailed 2015's respective totals of $183 million and $1.3 billion.

      Sales volumes of 2.2 million tonnes for the fourth quarter were 27 percent higher than in the same period last year. In North America, shipments exceeded 2015's historically low fourth-quarter figures, while offshore shipments also increased, with Canpotex achieving record sales volumes in the second half. The majority of its shipments for the quarter were to China (34 percent) and Other Asian markets outside of China and India (31 percent), while Latin America and India accounted for 21 percent and 9 percent, respectively. Full-year North American shipments were up 30 percent relative to last year's historically weak total, while a lack of engagement in key contract markets during the first half of 2016 kept full-year offshore volumes 15 percent below 2015 levels. Overall, sales volumes of 8.6 million tonnes were down slightly compared to 2015.

      Our average realized potash price of $157 per tonne for the fourth quarter was down from $238 per tonne in the same period last year, a result of the decline in spot prices experienced in the first half of 2016 and lower contract prices settled in the second half.

      Optimizing production to our lower-cost mines in Saskatchewan more than offset an unfavorable adjustment to asset retirement obligations and contributed to average per-tonne manufactured cost of goods sold of $101 for the quarter. This amount was down from $132 per tonne in the same period last year when inventory-related shutdowns and the closure of our Penobsquis, New Brunswick operation reduced production volumes and increased per-tonne cost of goods sold.

      Nitrogen
      In nitrogen, weaker prices for all our products resulted in gross margin of $55 million for the fourth quarter and $361 million for the year, down from $142 million and $706 million, respectively, in 2015. Our US operations accounted for 70 percent of our nitrogen gross margin for the quarter, with our Trinidad operations providing the remainder.

      Total sales volumes of 1.6 million tonnes for the quarter were slightly higher compared to the same period in 2015, primarily due to stronger demand for nitrogen solutions relative to ammonia. For the full-year, shipments of 6.4 million tonnes were up from 5.9 million tonnes in the previous year, reflecting a full year of increased production at our expanded Lima facility.

      Our average realized price of $182 per tonne during the quarter was down significantly from the $288 per tonne achieved in the same period last year as lower global energy costs and increased supply pulled down realizations for all our nitrogen products.

      Cost of goods sold for the quarter averaged $151 per tonne, down from $199 per tonne in 2015's fourth quarter; this change was driven primarily by lower natural gas costs in Trinidad.

      Phosphate
      Weaker prices for nearly all our phosphate products resulted in gross margin of $8 million for the quarter and $52 million for the year, significantly lower than in the comparable periods of 2015.

      Sales volumes of 0.7 million tonnes for the quarter and 2.7 million tonnes for the year trailed last year's comparable amounts of 0.8 million tonnes and 2.9 million tonnes, respectively, primarily due to weaker demand for our feed and industrial products.

      Our average realized phosphate price for the quarter was $404 per tonne, down from $522 per tonne in the same period last year, the result of weaker fertilizer realizations.

      Cost of goods sold per tonne of $393 for the fourth quarter was lower than the $443 per tonne in the same quarter in 2015, largely due to lower sulfur and ammonia input costs.

      Financial
      Provincial mining and other taxes for both the quarter ($36 million) and the year ($124 million) were lower than in the comparable periods in 2015 ($46 million and $310 million, respectively), due to lower potash prices.

      Other expenses of $26 million for the quarter and $30 million for the full year were impacted by transaction costs related to the proposed merger with Agrium Inc. (Agrium). This compared to other income amounts in 2015's comparable periods of $11 million and $22 million, respectively.

      Lower total earnings and a smaller percentage of income earned in higher-tax jurisdictions reduced our income tax expense compared to 2015 for the quarter and full year. During the fourth quarter, a $5 million deferred tax recovery on a dividend received from an equity-accounted investee contributed to an income tax recovery of $8 million. This compared to an income tax expense of $69 million in the same period last year.

      Potash Market Outlook
      We maintain our global potash shipment estimate of 61-64 million tonnes for 2017 and anticipate consistent customer engagement throughout the year. This view is supported by healthy underlying consumption trends and lower dealer inventories in most key buying regions. With increased demand and limited new capacity additions, we anticipate relatively balanced market fundamentals in 2017.

      In North America, compelling fertilizer affordability and the need to replenish soil nutrients following a record harvest are expected to support potash demand. We anticipate shipments in the range of 9.3-9.8 million tonnes, similar to 2016 levels.

      In Latin America, we expect favorable crop economics, lower inventories and substantial agronomic need will lead to robust consumption in 2017. We anticipate deliveries of 11.5-12.0 million tonnes, exceeding 2016's total and potentially surpassing record levels.

      In China, we anticipate supportive domestic crop prices and strong affordability to encourage consumption growth in 2017. We expect this growth, in conjunction with lower inventories to start the year, will support demand in the range of 14.5-15.5 million tonnes, significantly above last year's level.

      In India, we believe lower nutrient retail prices and reduced inventory levels will support increased demand in 2017. We maintain our expected shipment range of 4.2-4.7 million tonnes, well above 2016 levels.

      In Other Asian markets, we expect strong palm oil prices and improved moisture conditions to support demand in 2017. We maintain our estimated shipment range of 8.8-9.3 million tonnes, above 2016's total.

      Financial Outlook
      Based on these market factors, we anticipate our 2017 potash sales volumes will be in the range of 8.7-9.4 million tonnes. We believe recent positive pricing trends will carry into the new year and – along with our expectations of lower per-tonne costs – forecast full-year potash gross margin of $550-$800 million.

      In nitrogen, we see 2017 as a transition year as the market adjusts to new capacity, particularly the ramp-up of new plants in the US, which we anticipate will shift trade patterns and weigh on domestic prices. While we expect some seasonal price strength, competitive pressures are expected to keep margins below 2016 levels.

      In phosphate, we expect challenging market fundamentals to weigh on realizations for our products and profitability in this segment.

      Given these considerations, we forecast combined nitrogen and phosphate gross margin will be in the range of $150-$400 million in 2017.

      Capital expenditures are anticipated to be approximately $600 million – lower than the previous year – as our multi-year expansion-related spending is now complete.

      Based on these factors, we forecast full-year 2017 earnings of $0.35-$0.55 per share, including merger-related costs of $0.05 per share.

      All annual guidance numbers – including those noted above – are outlined in the table below.

      2017 Guidance

      Annual earnings per share

      $0.35-$0.55

      Potash sales volumes

      8.7-9.4 million tonnes

      Potash gross margin

      $550-$800 million

      Nitrogen and phosphate gross margin

      $150-$400 million

      Capital expenditures*

      ~$600 million

      Effective tax rate

      17-20 percent

      Provincial mining and other taxes**

      17-20 percent

      Selling and administrative expenses

      $225-$235 million

      Finance costs

      $220-$230 million

      Income from equity investments***

      $145-$165 million

      Annual foreign exchange rate assumption

      CDN$1.32 per US$

      Annual EPS sensitivity to foreign exchange

      US$ strengthens vs. CDN$ by $0.02 = +$0.01 EPS

      Annual EPS sensitivity to potash prices

      Increases by $20 per tonne = +$0.14 EPS

      * Does not include capitalized interest

      ** As a percentage of potash gross margin

      *** Includes income from dividends and share of equity earnings

      Notes

      1. All references to per-share amounts pertain to diluted net income per share.
      2. Canpotex Limited (Canpotex), the offshore marketing company for PotashCorp and two other Saskatchewan potash producers.

      PotashCorp is the world's largest crop nutrient company and plays an integral role in global food production. The company produces the three essential nutrients required to help farmers grow healthier, more abundant crops. With global population rising and diets improving in developing countries, these nutrients offer a responsible and practical solution to meeting the long-term demand for food. PotashCorp is the largest producer, by capacity, of potash and one of the largest producers of nitrogen and phosphate. While agriculture is its primary market, the company also produces products for animal nutrition and industrial uses. Common shares of Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange.

      This release contains "forward-looking statements" (within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) or "forward-looking information" (within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation) that relate to future events or our future performance. These statements can be identified by expressions of belief, expectation or intention, as well as those statements that are not historical fact. These statements often contain words such as "should," "could," "expect," "forecast," "may," "anticipate," "believe," "intend," "estimates," "plans" and similar expressions. These statements are based on certain factors and assumptions as set forth in this document, including with respect to: foreign exchange rates, expected growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities, including the completion of the proposed merger of equals with Agrium, and effective tax rates. While we consider these factors and assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently available, they may prove to be incorrect. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. The results or events set forth in forward-looking statements may differ materially from actual results or events. Several factors could cause our actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, the following: our proposed merger of equals transaction with Agrium, including the failure to satisfy all required conditions, including required regulatory approvals, or to satisfy or obtain waivers with respect to all other closing conditions in a timely manner and on favorable terms or at all; the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of the arrangement agreement; certain costs that we may incur in connection with the proposed merger of equals; certain restrictions in the arrangement agreement on our ability to take action outside the ordinary course of business without the consent of Agrium; the effect of the announcement of the proposed merger of equals on our ability to retain customers, suppliers and personnel and on our operating future business and operations generally; risks related to diversion of management time from ongoing business operations due to the proposed merger of equals; failure to realize the anticipated benefits of the proposed merger of equals and to successfully integrate Agrium and PotashCorp; the results of our impairment assessment regarding the carrying value of certain assets; the risk that our credit ratings may be downgraded or there may be adverse conditions in the credit markets; variations from our assumptions with respect to foreign exchange rates, expected growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities, and effective tax rates; fluctuations in supply and demand in the fertilizer, sulfur and petrochemical markets; changes in competitive pressures, including pricing pressures; risks and uncertainties related to any operating and workforce changes made in response to our industry and the markets we serve, including mine and inventory shutdowns; adverse or uncertain economic conditions and changes in credit and financial markets; economic and political uncertainty around the world; changes in capital markets; the results of sales contract negotiations; unexpected or adverse weather conditions; risks related to reputational loss; the occurrence of a major safety incident; inadequate insurance coverage for a significant liability; our inability to obtain relevant permits for our operations; catastrophic events or malicious acts, including terrorism; certain complications that may arise in our mining process, including water inflows; risks and uncertainties related to our international operations and assets; our ownership of non-controlling equity interests in other companies; our prospects to reinvest capital in strategic opportunities and acquisitions; risks associated with natural gas and other hedging activities; security risks related to our information technology systems; imprecision in reserve estimates; costs and availability of transportation and distribution for our raw materials and products, including railcars and ocean freight; changes in, and the effects of, government policies and regulations; earnings and the decisions of taxing authorities which could affect our effective tax rates; increases in the price or reduced availability of the raw materials that we use; our ability to attract, develop, engage and retain skilled employees; strikes or other forms of work stoppage or slowdowns; rates of return on, and the risks associated with, our investments and capital expenditures; timing and impact of capital expenditures; the impact of further innovation; adverse developments in pending or future legal proceedings or government investigations; and violations of our governance and compliance policies. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in more detail under the headings "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Results and Operations and Financial Condition" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015, the joint information circular of the company and Agrium, filed as Exhibit 99.1 to the company's Current Report on Form 8-K dated October 6, 2016 and with Canadian provincial securities commissions, in connection with the proposed merger of equals with Agrium and in other documents and reports subsequently filed by us with the US Securities and Exchange Commission and the Canadian provincial securities commissions. Forward-looking statements are given only as of the date hereof and we disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements in this release, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

      PotashCorp will host a Conference Call on Thursday, January 26, 2017 at 1:00 pm Eastern Time.

      Telephone Conference:

      Dial-in numbers:



      -  From Canada and the US

      1-866-438-1126      


      -  From Elsewhere

      1-778-328-1919




      Live Webcast:

      Visit www.potashcorp.com



      Webcast participants can submit questions to management online from their audio
      player pop-up window.

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

      (in millions of US dollars except as otherwise noted)

      (unaudited)







      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Sales (Note 2)

      $

      1,058

      $

      1,354

      $

      4,456

      $

      6,279

      Freight, transportation and distribution

      (130)

      (108)

      (535)

      (488)

      Cost of goods sold

      (745)

      (860)

      (3,071)

      (3,522)

      Gross Margin

      183

      386

      850

      2,269

      Selling and administrative expenses

      (45)

      (67)

      (212)

      (239)

      Provincial mining and other taxes

      (36)

      (46)

      (124)

      (310)

      Share of earnings of equity-accounted investees

      21

      18

      95

      121

      Dividend income

      9

      12

      33

      50

      Impairment of available-for-sale investment (Note 3)

      -

      -

      (10)

      -

      Other (expenses) income (Note 4)

      (26)

      11

      (30)

      22

      Operating Income

      106

      314

      602

      1,913

      Finance costs

      (55)

      (44)

      (216)

      (192)

      Income Before Income Taxes

      51

      270

      386

      1,721

      Income taxes (Note 5)

      8

      (69)

      (50)

      (451)

      Net Income

      $

      59

      $

      201

      $

      336

      $

      1,270






      Net Income per Share






      Basic

      $

      0.07

      $

      0.24

      $

      0.40

      $

      1.52


      Diluted

      $

      0.07

      $

      0.24

      $

      0.40

      $

      1.52






      Dividends Declared per Share

      $

      0.10

      $

      0.38

      $

      0.70

      $

      1.52






      Weighted Average Shares Outstanding






      Basic

      839,721,000

      835,828,000

      838,928,000

      834,141,000


      Diluted

      840,142,000

      837,208,000

      839,459,000

      837,349,000

      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)




      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

      (in millions of US dollars)

      (unaudited)







      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31


      (Net of related income taxes)

      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Net Income

      $

      59

      $

      201

      $

      336

      $

      1,270

      Other comprehensive income (loss)






      Items that will not be reclassified to net income:







      Net actuarial gain on defined benefit plans (1)

      119

      36

      16

      36


      Items that have been or may be subsequently reclassified to net income:







      Available-for-sale investments (2)








      Net fair value gain (loss) during the period

      54

      (155)

      (34)

      (546)



      Cash flow hedges








      Net fair value gain (loss) during the period (3)

      9

      (10)

      7

      (52)




      Reclassification to income of net loss (4)

      11

      15

      50

      54



      Other

      -

      (2)

      2

      (9)

      Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

      193

      (116)

      41

      (517)

      Comprehensive Income

      $

      252

      $

      85

      $

      377

      $

      753

      (1)  Net of income taxes of $(76) (2015 - $(22)) for the three months ended December 31, 2016 and $(16) (2015 - $(22)) for the twelve months ended December 31, 2016.

      (2)  Available-for-sale investments are comprised of shares in Israel Chemicals Ltd., Sinofert Holdings Limited and other.

      (3)  Cash flow hedges are comprised of natural gas derivative instruments and treasury lock derivatives and were net of income taxes of $(4) (2015 - $8) for the three months ended December 31, 2016 and $(4) (2015 - $31) for the twelve months ended December 31, 2016.

      (4)  Net of income taxes of $(6) (2015 - $(9)) for the three months ended December 31, 2016 and $(28) (2015 - $(30)) for the twelve months ended December 31, 2016.


      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)


      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow

      (in millions of US dollars)

      (unaudited)





      Three Months Ended

      Twelve Months Ended


      December 31

      December 31


      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Operating Activities





      Net income

      $

      59

      $

      201

      $

      336

      $

      1,270

      Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash provided by 






      operating activities (Note 6)                                  

      233

      289

      864

      941

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital (Note 6)

      61

      133

      60

      127

      Cash provided by operating activities

      353

      623

      1,260

      2,338






      Investing Activities





      Additions to property, plant and equipment

      (245)

      (415)

      (893)

      (1,217)

      Other assets and intangible assets

      8

      1

      (2)

      (67)

      Cash used in investing activities

      (237)

      (414)

      (895)

      (1,284)






      Financing Activities





      Proceeds from long-term debt obligations

      496

      -

      496

      494

      Repayment of, and finance costs on, long-term debt obligations

      (4)

      -

      (8)

      (502)

      (Repayment of) proceeds from short-term debt obligations

      (647)

      103

      (128)

      (19)

      Dividends

      (82)

      (305)

      (809)

      (1,204)

      Issuance of common shares

      -

      11

      25

      53

      Cash used in financing activities

      (237)

      (191)

      (424)

      (1,178)

      (Decrease) Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents

      (121)

      18

      (59)

      (124)

      Cash and Cash Equivalents, Beginning of Period

      153

      73

      91

      215

      Cash and Cash Equivalents, End of Period

      $

      32

      $

      91

      $

      32

      $

      91






      Cash and cash equivalents comprised of:






      Cash

      $

      13

      $

      30

      $

      13

      $

      30


      Short-term investments

      19

      61

      19

      61


      $

      32

      $

      91

      $

      32

      $

      91

      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statement of Changes in Shareholders' Equity

      (in millions of US dollars)

      (unaudited)














      Accumulated Other Comprehensive (Loss) Income






      Net unrealized

      Net (loss) 

      Net


      Total






      gain (loss) on

      gain on

      actuarial


      Accumulated






      available-

      derivatives

      gain on


      Other




      Share

      Contributed

      for-sale

      designated as

      defined


      Comprehensive

      Retained

      Total


      Capital

      Surplus

      investments

      cash flow hedges

      benefit plans (1)

      Other

      (Loss) Income

      Earnings

      Equity











      Balance - December 31, 2015

      $

      1,747

      $

      230

      $

      77

      $

      (117)

      $

      -

      $

      (10)

      $

      (50)

      $

      6,455

      $

      8,382

      Net income

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      336

      336

      Other comprehensive (loss) income

      -

      -

      (34)

      57

      16

      2

      41

      -

      41

      Dividends declared

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      (590)

      (590)

      Effect of share-based compensation











      including issuance of common shares

      36

      (8)

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      28

      Shares issued for dividend











      reinvestment plan

      15

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      -

      15

      Transfer of net actuarial gain on











      defined benefit plans

      -

      -

      -

      -

      (16)

      -

      (16)

      16

      -

      Balance - December 31, 2016

      $

      1,798

      $

      222

      $

      43

      $

      (60)

      $

      -

      $

      (8)

      $

      (25)

      $

      6,217

      $

      8,212

      (1)Any amounts incurred during a period are closed out to retained earnings at each period-end. Therefore, no balance exists at the beginning or end of period.

      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position

      (in millions of US dollars except share amounts)

      (unaudited)





      December 31

      December 31

      As at

      2016

      2015




      Assets




      Current assets





      Cash and cash equivalents

      $

      32

      $

      91



      Receivables

      545

      640



      Inventories

      768

      749



      Prepaid expenses and other current assets

      49

      73


      1,394

      1,553


      Non-current assets





      Property, plant and equipment

      13,338

      13,212



      Investments in equity-accounted investees

      1,173

      1,243



      Available-for-sale investments (Note 3)

      940

      984



      Other assets

      250

      285



      Intangible assets

      180

      192

      Total Assets

      $

      17,275

      $

      17,469







      Liabilities




      Current liabilities





      Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt

      $

      884

      $

      517



      Payables and accrued charges

      772

      1,146



      Current portion of derivative instrument liabilities

      41

      84


      1,697

      1,747


      Non-current liabilities





      Long-term debt

      3,707

      3,710



      Derivative instrument liabilities

      56

      109



      Deferred income tax liabilities

      2,470

      2,438



      Pension and other post-retirement benefit liabilities

      443

      431



      Asset retirement obligations and accrued environmental costs

      643

      574



      Other non-current liabilities and deferred credits

      47

      78

      Total Liabilities

      9,063

      9,087




      Shareholders' Equity




      Share capital

      1,798

      1,747



      Unlimited authorization of common shares without par value; issued and
      outstanding 839,790,379 and 836,540,151 at December 31, 2016 and
      December 31, 2015, respectively




      Contributed surplus

      222

      230


      Accumulated other comprehensive loss

      (25)

      (50)


      Retained earnings

      6,217

      6,455

      Total Shareholders' Equity

      8,212

      8,382

      Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

      $

      17,275

      $

      17,469

      (See Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements)



      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.
      Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
      For the Three and Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2016
      (in millions of US dollars except as otherwise noted)  
      (unaudited)

      1. Significant Accounting Policies

      With its subsidiaries, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. ("PCS") — together known as "PotashCorp" or "the company" except to the extent the context otherwise requires — forms an integrated fertilizer and related industrial and feed products company. The company's accounting policies are in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IFRS"). The accounting policies and methods of computation used in preparing these unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements are consistent with those used in the preparation of the company's 2015 annual consolidated financial statements.

      These unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of PCS and its subsidiaries; however, they do not include all disclosures normally provided in annual consolidated financial statements and should be read in conjunction with the company's 2015 annual consolidated financial statements. The company's 2016 annual consolidated financial statements will include additional information under IFRS in its Annual Integrated Report in February 2017.

      In management's opinion, the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements include all adjustments necessary to present fairly such information, with the exception of any potential impairment charge as the result of the company's ongoing impairment assessment. Any potential required charge would be a non-cash adjustment only.

      2. Segment Information

      The company has three reportable operating segments: potash, nitrogen and phosphate. The accounting policies of the segments are the same as those described in Note 1. Inter-segment sales are made under terms that approximate market value.



      Three Months Ended December 31, 2016


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated







      Sales - third party

      $

      403

      $

      323

      $

      332

      $

      -

      $

      1,058

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party

      (54)

      (34)

      (42)

      -

      (130)

      Net sales - third party

      349

      289

      290

      -


      Cost of goods sold - third party

      (229)

      (239)

      (277)

      -

      (745)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)

      -

      5

      (5)

      -

      -

      Gross margin

      120

      55

      8

      -

      183

      Depreciation and amortization

      (57)

      (54)

      (58)

      (8)

      (177)

      Cash outflows for additions to property,







      plant and equipment

      83

      85

      74

      3

      245

      (1)  Inter-segment net sales were $14.









      Three Months Ended December 31, 2015


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated







      Sales - third party

      $

      454

      $

      459

      $

      441

      $

      -

      $

      1,354

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party

      (36)

      (28)

      (44)

      -

      (108)

      Net sales - third party

      418

      431

      397

      -


      Cost of goods sold - third party

      (235)

      (305)

      (320)

      -

      (860)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)

      -

      16

      (16)

      -

      -

      Gross margin

      183

      142

      61

      -

      386

      Depreciation and amortization

      (45)

      (57)

      (59)

      (7)

      (168)

      Cash outflows for additions to property,







      plant and equipment

      196

      113

      75

      31

      415

      (1)  Inter-segment net sales were $25.













      Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2016


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated







      Sales - third party

      $

      1,630

      $

      1,467

      $

      1,359

      $

      -

      $

      4,456

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party

      (250)

      (122)

      (163)

      -

      (535)

      Net sales - third party

      1,380

      1,345

      1,196

      -


      Cost of goods sold - third party

      (943)

      (1,016)

      (1,112)

      -

      (3,071)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)

      -

      32

      (32)

      -

      -

      Gross margin

      437

      361

      52

      -

      850

      Depreciation and amortization

      (216)

      (213)

      (223)

      (43)

      (695)

      Share of Canpotex's (2) Prince Rupert







      project exit costs

      (33)

      -

      -

      -

      (33)

      Termination benefit costs

      (32)

      -

      -

      -

      (32)

      Impairment of property, plant and equipment

      -

      -

      (27)

      -

      (27)

      Cash outflows for additions to property,







      plant and equipment

      342

      263

      216

      72

      893

      (1)  Inter-segment net sales were $62.






      (2)  Canpotex Limited ("Canpotex").













      Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2015


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      All Others

      Consolidated







      Sales - third party

      $

      2,543

      $

      1,960

      $

      1,776

      $

      -

      $

      6,279

      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party

      (214)

      (101)

      (173)

      -

      (488)

      Net sales - third party

      2,329

      1,859

      1,603

      -


      Cost of goods sold - third party

      (1,007)

      (1,210)

      (1,305)

      -

      (3,522)

      Margin (cost) on inter-segment sales (1)

      -

      57

      (57)

      -

      -

      Gross margin

      1,322

      706

      241

      -

      2,269

      Depreciation and amortization

      (214)

      (198)

      (240)

      (33)

      (685)

      Cash outflows for additions to property,







      plant and equipment

      537

      398

      202

      80

      1,217

      (1)  Inter-segment net sales were $87.






      3. Available-for-Sale Investments

      The company assesses at the end of each reporting period whether there is objective evidence of impairment. A significant or prolonged decline in the fair value of the investment below its cost would be evidence that the asset is impaired. If objective evidence of impairment exists, the impaired amount (i.e. the unrealized loss) is recognized in net income; any subsequent reversals would be recognized in other comprehensive income (loss) ("OCI") and would not flow back into net income. Any subsequent decline in fair value below the carrying amount at the impairment date would represent a further impairment to be recognized in net income.

      During 2012, the company concluded its investment in Sinofert Holdings Limited ("Sinofert") was impaired due to the significance by which fair value was below cost. During 2014, the company concluded its investment in Sinofert was further impaired due to the fair value declining below the carrying amount of $238 at the previous impairment date. As a result, impairment losses of $341 and $38 were recognized in net income during 2012 and 2014, respectively. At June 30, 2016, the company concluded its investment in Sinofert was further impaired due to the fair value declining below the carrying amount of $200 at the previous impairment date. As a result, an impairment loss of $10 was recognized in net income during the twelve months ended December 31, 2016. The fair value was determined through the market value of Sinofert shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

      Changes in fair value, and related accounting, for the company's investment in Sinofert since December 31, 2014 were as follows:





      Impact of Unrealized Loss on:


      Fair Value

      Unrealized Loss

      OCI and
      AOCI (1)

      Net Income
      and Retained
      Earnings

      Balance — December 31, 2014

      $

      252

      $

      (327)

      $

      52

      $

      (379)

      Increase in fair value

      14

      14

      14

      -

      Balance — December 31, 2015

      $

      266

      $

      (313)

      $

      66

      $

      (379)

      Decrease in fair value

      (51)

      (51)

      (51)

      -

      Balance — March 31, 2016

      $

      215

      $

      (364)

      $

      15

      $

      (379)

      Decrease in fair value and recognition of impairment 

      (25)

      (25)

      (15)

      (10)

      Balance — June 30, 2016

      $

      190

      $

      (389)

      $

      -

      $

      (389)

      Increase in fair value

      8

      8

      8

      -

      Balance — September 30, 2016

      $

      198

      $

      (381)

      $

      8

      $

      (389)

      Increase in fair value

      14

      14

      14

      -

      Balance — December 31, 2016

      $

      212

      $

      (367)

      $

      22

      $

      (389)

      (1)Accumulated other comprehensive income ("AOCI").




      4. Other (Expenses) Income



      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Foreign exchange gain (loss)

      $

      5

      $

      12

      $

      (9)

      $

      48

      Proposed Transaction costs

      (10)

      -

      (18)

      -

      Other expenses

      (21)

      (1)

      (3)

      (26)


      $

      (26)

      $

      11

      $

      (30)

      $

      22

      5. Income Taxes

      A separate estimated average annual effective tax rate was determined for each taxing jurisdiction and applied individually to the pre-tax income of each jurisdiction.



      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Income tax (recovery) expense

      $

      (8)

      $

      69

      $

      50

      $

      451

      Actual effective tax rate on ordinary earnings

      -3%

      26%

      17%

      27%

      Actual effective tax rate including discrete items

      -15%

      25%

      13%

      26%

      Discrete tax adjustments that impacted the tax rate 

      $

      (6)

      $

      (2)

      $

      (17)

      $

      (7)

      Significant items to note include the following:

      • The actual effective tax rate on ordinary earnings for the three months ended December 31, 2016 decreased compared to the same period last year due to significantly lower earnings in higher tax jurisdictions and a $5 deferred tax recovery on the dividend receipt from an equity-accounted investee.

      • The actual effective tax rate on ordinary earnings for the twelve months ended December 31, 2016 decreased compared to the same period last year due to significantly lower earnings in higher tax jurisdictions.

      • In 2016, a current tax recovery of $16 ($3 in the fourth quarter) was recorded as a result of tax authority examinations.

      • In third-quarter 2015, a current tax recovery of $17 was recorded upon the conclusion of a tax authority audit.

      6. Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow



      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Reconciliation of cash provided by operating activities





      Net income

      $

      59

      $

      201

      $

      336

      $

      1,270

      Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash provided by operating activities






      Depreciation and amortization

      177

      168

      695

      685


      Impairment of property, plant and equipment

      -

      -

      27

      -


      Net distributed (undistributed) earnings of equity-accounted







      investees                             

      49

      12

      70

      (35)


      Impairment of available-for-sale investment (Note 3)

      -

      -

      10

      -


      Share-based compensation

      (6)

      2

      2

      22


      (Recovery of) provision for deferred income tax

      (20)

      55

      (15)

      204


      Pension and other post-retirement benefits

      10

      3

      46

      30


      Asset retirement obligations and accrued environmental costs

      16

      39

      29

      20


      Other long-term liabilities and miscellaneous

      7

      10

      -

      15


      Subtotal of adjustments

      233

      289

      864

      941








      Changes in non-cash operating working capital






      Receivables

      35

      173

      114

      259


      Inventories

      (41)

      (21)

      (21)

      (99)


      Prepaid expenses and other current assets

      8

      (3)

      17

      (19)


      Payables and accrued charges

      59

      (16)

      (50)

      (14)


      Subtotal of changes in non-cash operating working capital

      61

      133

      60

      127

      Cash provided by operating activities

      $

      353

      $

      623

      $

      1,260

      $

      2,338







      Supplemental cash flow disclosure






      Interest paid

      $

      65

      $

      63

      $

      189

      $

      193


      Income taxes paid

      $

      7

      $

      21

      $

      50

      $

      171

      7. Share-Based Compensation

      During the twelve months ended December 31, 2016, the company issued stock options and performance share units ("PSUs") to eligible employees under the 2016 Long-Term Incentive Plan ("LTIP"). Information on stock options and PSUs is summarized below:



      2016 LTIP

      (Recovery) expense for all share-based compensation plans



      Units
      Outstanding as at
      December 31,

      Three Months Ended
      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended 
      December 31






      Units Granted

      2016

      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Stock options

      3,099,913

      3,071,064

      $

      (10)

      $

      2

      $

      (2)

      $

      22

      Share-settled PSUs

      602,740

      602,740

      -

      -

      3

      -

      Cash-settled PSUs

      1,014,188

      1,014,188

      2

      -

      9

      -




      $

      (8)

      $

      2

      $

      10

      $

      22


      Grant date fair value per unit for stock options and share-settled PSUs was $2.04 and $17.19, respectively.

      Stock Options

      Under the LTIP, stock options generally vest and become exercisable on the third anniversary of the grant date, subject to continuous employment or retirement, and have a maximum term of 10 years. The weighted average fair value of stock options granted was estimated as of the date of grant using the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model with the following weighted average assumptions:


      Exercise price per option

      $

      16.20

      Expected annual dividend per share

      $

      1.00

      Expected volatility

      30%

      Risk-free interest rate

      1.06%

      Expected life of options

      5.7 years

      Performance Share Units

      In 2016, PSUs granted under the LTIP were comprised of three tranches, with each tranche vesting based on the achievement of performance metrics over separate performance periods ranging from one to three years, and will be settled in shares for grantees who are subject to the company's share ownership guidelines and in cash for all other grantees. PSUs vest based on the achievement of performance metrics comprising the relative ranking of the company's total shareholder return compared with a specified peer group using a Monte Carlo simulation option pricing model and forecasting the company's cash flow return on investment compared with its weighted average cost of capital. Compensation cost is measured based on the grant date fair value of the units, adjusted for the company's best estimate of the outcome of non-market vesting conditions at the end of each period, for share-settled PSUs, and on period-end fair value of the awards for cash-settled PSUs.

      8. Proposed Transaction with Agrium

      On September 11, 2016, the company entered into an Arrangement Agreement with Agrium Inc. ("Agrium") pursuant to which the company and Agrium have agreed to combine their businesses (the "Proposed Transaction") in a merger of equals transaction to be implemented by way of a plan of arrangement under the Canada Business Corporations Act. On November 3, 2016, the Proposed Transaction was approved by shareholders of both companies. On November 7, 2016, the Ontario Superior Court of Justice issued a final order approving the Proposed Transaction. The Proposed Transaction is currently anticipated to be completed in mid-2017 and is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals.

      Upon the closing of the Proposed Transaction, the company and Agrium will become indirect, wholly owned subsidiaries of a new parent company. PotashCorp shareholders will own approximately 52 percent of the new parent, and Agrium shareholders will own approximately 48 percent.


      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Financial Data

      (unaudited)





      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Potash Sales (tonnes - thousands)






      Manufactured Product







      North America

      720

      459

      3,367

      2,591



      Offshore

      1,489

      1,277

      5,277

      6,181


      Manufactured Product

      2,209

      1,736

      8,644

      8,772






      Potash Net Sales 






      (US $ millions)







      Sales

      $

      403

      $

      454

      $

      1,630

      $

      2,543



      Freight, transportation and distribution

      (54)

      (36)

      (250)

      (214)



      Net Sales

      $

      349

      $

      418

      $

      1,380

      $

      2,329







      Manufactured Product







      North America

      $

      126

      $

      125

      $

      589

      $

      825



      Offshore

      220

      288

      781

      1,487


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product

      3

      5

      10

      17


      Net Sales

      $

      349

      $

      418

      $

      1,380

      $

      2,329






      Manufactured Product






      Average Realized Sales Price per Tonne







      North America

      $

      176

      $

      271

      $

      175

      $

      318



      Offshore

      $

      148

      $

      226

      $

      148

      $

      241



      Average

      $

      157

      $

      238

      $

      158

      $

      263


      Cost of Goods Sold per Tonne

      $

      (101)

      $

      (132)

      $

      (105)

      $

      (111)


      Gross Margin per Tonne

      $

      56

      $

      106

      $

      53

      $

      152







      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Financial Data

      (unaudited)





      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Average Natural Gas Cost in Production per MMBtu

      $

      3.07

      $

      4.28

      $

      3.26

      $

      4.70

      Nitrogen Sales (tonnes - thousands)






      Manufactured Product







      Ammonia (1)

      477

      567

      2,197

      2,228



      Urea

      304

      308

      1,161

      1,048



      Solutions/Nitric acid/Ammonium nitrate

      855

      684

      3,015

      2,650


      Manufactured Product

      1,636

      1,559

      6,373

      5,926







      Fertilizer sales tonnes (1)

      700

      539

      2,455

      1,989


      Industrial/Feed sales tonnes

      936

      1,020

      3,918

      3,937


      Manufactured Product

      1,636

      1,559

      6,373

      5,926






      Nitrogen Net Sales 






      (US $ millions)







      Sales - third party

      $

      323

      $

      459

      $

      1,467

      $

      1,960



      Freight, transportation and distribution - third party

      (34)

      (28)

      (122)

      (101)



      Net sales - third party

      289

      431

      1,345

      1,859



      Inter-segment net sales

      14

      25

      62

      87



      Net Sales

      $

      303

      $

      456

      $

      1,407

      $

      1,946







      Manufactured Product







      Ammonia (2)

      $

      102

      $

      225

      $

      612

      $

      978



      Urea

      74

      91

      297

      362



      Solutions/Nitric acid/Ammonium nitrate

      122

      132

      477

      567


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product (3)

      5

      8

      21

      39


      Net Sales

      $

      303

      $

      456

      $

      1,407

      $

      1,946







      Fertilizer net sales (2)

      $

      128

      $

      149

      $

      530

      $

      637


      Industrial/Feed net sales

      170

      299

      856

      1,270


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product (3)

      5

      8

      21

      39


      Net Sales

      $

      303

      $

      456

      $

      1,407

      $

      1,946






      Manufactured Product






      Average Realized Sales Price per Tonne







      Ammonia

      $

      213

      $

      397

      $

      278

      $

      439



      Urea

      $

      245

      $

      297

      $

      256

      $

      346



      Solutions/Nitric acid/Ammonium nitrate

      $

      142

      $

      193

      $

      158

      $

      214



      Average

      $

      182

      $

      288

      $

      217

      $

      322



      Fertilizer average price per Tonne

      $

      182

      $

      278

      $

      216

      $

      321



      Industrial/Feed average price per Tonne

      $

      181

      $

      293

      $

      218

      $

      323



      Average

      $

      182

      $

      288

      $

      217

      $

      322


      Cost of Goods Sold per Tonne

      $

      (151)

      $

      (199)

      $

      (163)

      $

      (206)


      Gross Margin per Tonne

      $

      31

      $

      89

      $

      54

      $

      116






      (1) Includes inter-segment ammonia sales (tonnes - thousands)

      44

      48

      160

      161

      (2) Includes inter-segment ammonia net sales 

      $

      14

      $

      25

      $

      61

      $

      86

      (3) Includes inter-segment other miscellaneous and purchased product net sales

      $

      -

      $

      -

      $

      1

      $

      1







      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Financial Data

      (unaudited)





      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Phosphate Sales (tonnes - thousands)






      Manufactured Product







      Fertilizer

      472

      474

      1,720

      1,713



      Feed and Industrial

      243

      284

      993

      1,137


      Manufactured Product

      715

      758

      2,713

      2,850






      Phosphate Net Sales 






      (US $ millions)







      Sales

      $

      332

      $

      441

      $

      1,359

      $

      1,776



      Freight, transportation and distribution

      (42)

      (44)

      (163)

      (173)



      Net Sales

      $

      290

      $

      397

      $

      1,196

      $

      1,603







      Manufactured Product







      Fertilizer

      $

      155

      $

      219

      $

      622

      $

      827



      Feed and Industrial

      134

      177

      569

      727


      Other miscellaneous and purchased product

      1

      1

      5

      49


      Net Sales

      $

      290

      $

      397

      $

      1,196

      $

      1,603






      Manufactured Product






      Average Realized Sales Price per Tonne







      Fertilizer

      $

      328

      $

      461

      $

      362

      $

      483



      Feed and Industrial

      $

      551

      $

      624

      $

      573

      $

      640



      Average

      $

      404

      $

      522

      $

      439

      $

      545


      Cost of Goods Sold per Tonne

      $

      (393)

      $

      (443)

      $

      (421)

      $

      (463)


      Gross Margin per Tonne

      $

      11

      $

      79

      $

      18

      $

      82







      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      Selected Additional Data

      (unaudited)




      Exchange Rate (Cdn$/US$)





      2016

      2015





      December 31


      1.3427

      1.3840

      Fourth-quarter average conversion rate


      1.3266

      1.3206





      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015






      Production





      Potash production (KCl Tonnes - thousands)

      2,544

      1,975

      8,604

      9,105

      Potash shutdown weeks (1)

      11

      15

      32

      28

      Nitrogen production (N Tonnes - thousands)

      788

      802

      3,147

      3,081

      Ammonia operating rate

      88%

      91%

      88%

      88%

      Phosphate production (P2O5 Tonnes - thousands)

      397

      427

      1,504

      1,614

      Phosphate P2O5 operating rate 

      85%

      90%

      79%

      74%






      Shareholders 





      PotashCorp's total shareholder return

      12%

      -15%

      12%

      -49%






      Customers





      Product tonnes involved in customer complaints (thousands)

      23

      8

      106

      59






      Community





      Taxes and royalties ($ millions) (2)

      57

      78

      256

      654






      Employees





      Annualized employee turnover rate (3)

      3%

      3%

      3%

      4%






      Safety





      Total recordable injury rate (per 200,000 work hours) (4)

      0.74

      0.97

      0.87

      1.01






      Environment





      Environmental incidents (5)

      1

      8

      18

      24














      December 31,

      December 31,

      As at



      2016

      2015






      Number of employees 






      Potash



      2,331

      2,689


      Nitrogen



      823

      812


      Phosphate



      1,515

      1,438


      Other



      461

      456


      Total



      5,130

      5,395






      (1) Represents weeks of full production shutdown; excludes the impact of any periods of reduced operating rates, planned routine annual maintenance shutdowns and suspension of Picadilly potash operations.

      (2) Taxes and royalties = current income tax expense - investment tax credits - realized excess tax benefit related to share-based compensation + potash production tax + resource surcharge + royalties + municipal taxes + other miscellaneous taxes (calculated on an accrual basis).

      (3) Excluding retirements and workforce changes related to suspension of Picadilly potash operations.

      (4) Total recordable injuries for every 200,000 hours worked for all PotashCorp employees, contractors and others on site. Calculated as the total recordable injuries multiplied by 200,000 hours worked divided by the actual number of hours worked.

      (5) Number of incidents, includes reportable quantity releases, permit non-compliance and Canadian reportable releases. Calculated as: reportable quantity releases (a release whose quantity equals or exceeds the US Environmental Protection Agency's notification level and is reportable to the National Response Center (NRC)) + permit non-compliance (an exceedance of a federal, state, provincial or local permit condition or regulatory limit) + Canadian reportable releases (an unconfined spill or release into the environment).

      Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.
      Selected Non-IFRS Financial Measures and Reconciliations and Supplemental Information
      (in millions of US dollars except percentage amounts)
      (unaudited)

      The following information is included for convenience only. Generally, a non-IFRS financial measure is a numerical measure of a company's performance, cash flows or financial position that either excludes or includes amounts that are not normally excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS. EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, cash flow prior to working capital changes and free cash flow are not measures of financial performance (nor do they have standardized meanings) under IFRS. In evaluating these measures, investors should consider that the methodology applied in calculating such measures may differ among companies and analysts.

      The company uses both IFRS and certain non-IFRS measures to assess performance. Management believes these non-IFRS measures provide useful supplemental information to investors in order that they may evaluate PotashCorp's financial performance using the same measures as management. Management believes that, as a result, the investor is afforded greater transparency in assessing the financial performance of the company. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered as a substitute for, nor superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.

      A.     EBITDA, ADJUSTED EBITDA AND ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGIN

      Set forth below is a reconciliation of "EBITDA" and "adjusted EBITDA" to net income and "adjusted EBITDA margin" to net income as a percentage of sales, the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS.



      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Net income

      $

      59

      $

      201

      $

      336

      $

      1,270

      Finance costs

      55

      44

      216

      192

      Income taxes

      (8)

      69

      50

      451

      Depreciation and amortization 

      177

      168

      695

      685

      EBITDA

      $

      283

      $

      482

      $

      1,297

      $

      2,598

      Share of Canpotex's Prince Rupert project exit costs

      -

      -

      33

      -

      Termination benefit costs

      -

      -

      32

      -

      Impairment of property, plant and equipment

      -

      -

      27

      -

      Impairment of available-for-sale investment

      -

      -

      10

      -

      Proposed Transaction costs

      10

      -

      18

      -

      Adjusted EBITDA

      $

      293

      $

      482

      $

      1,417

      $

      2,598

      EBITDA is calculated as net income before finance costs, income taxes, and depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated as net income before finance costs, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, exit costs, termination benefit costs, certain impairment charges and Proposed Transaction costs. PotashCorp uses EBITDA as a supplemental financial measure of its operational performance. Management believes EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA to be important measures as they exclude the effects of items which primarily reflect the impact of long-term investment and financing decisions, rather than the performance of the company's day-to-day operations. As compared to net income according to IFRS, these measures are limited in that they do not reflect the periodic costs of certain capitalized tangible and intangible assets used in generating revenues in the company's business, the charges associated with impairments, termination benefit costs, exit costs or Proposed Transaction costs. Management evaluates such items through other financial measures such as capital expenditures and cash flow provided by operating activities. The company believes that these measurements are useful to measure a company's ability to service debt and to meet other payment obligations or as a valuation measurement.


      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Sales

      $

      1,058

      $

      1,354

      $

      4,456

      $

      6,279

      Freight, transportation and distribution

      (130)

      (108)

      (535)

      (488)

      Net sales

      $

      928

      $

      1,246

      $

      3,921

      $

      5,791






      Net income as a percentage of sales

      6%

      15%

      8%

      20%

      Adjusted EBITDA margin

      32%

      39%

      36%

      45%

      Adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated as adjusted EBITDA divided by net sales (sales less freight, transportation and distribution). Management believes comparing adjusted EBITDA to net sales earned (net of costs to deliver product) is an important indicator of efficiency. In addition to the limitations given above in using adjusted EBITDA as compared to net income, adjusted EBITDA margin as compared to net income as a percentage of sales is also limited in that freight, transportation and distribution costs are incurred and valued independently of sales; adjusted EBITDA also includes share of earnings of equity-accounted investees whose sales are not included in consolidated sales. Management evaluates these items individually on the consolidated statements of income.

      B.     CASH FLOW

      Set forth below is a reconciliation of "cash flow prior to working capital changes" and "free cash flow" to cash provided by operating activities, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS.



      Three Months Ended

      December 31

      Twelve Months Ended

      December 31



      2016

      2015

      2016

      2015

      Cash flow prior to working capital changes 

      $

      292

      $

      490

      $

      1,200

      $

      2,211

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital






      Receivables

      35

      173

      114

      259


      Inventories

      (41)

      (21)

      (21)

      (99)


      Prepaid expenses and other current assets

      8

      (3)

      17

      (19)


      Payables and accrued charges

      59

      (16)

      (50)

      (14)

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital

      61

      133

      60

      127

      Cash provided by operating activities

      $

      353

      $

      623

      $

      1,260

      $

      2,338

      Additions to property, plant and equipment

      (245)

      (415)

      (893)

      (1,217)

      Other assets and intangible assets

      8

      1

      (2)

      (67)

      Changes in non-cash operating working capital

      (61)

      (133)

      (60)

      (127)

      Free cash flow 

      $

      55

      $

      76

      $

      305

      $

      927

      Management uses cash flow prior to working capital changes as a supplemental financial measure in its evaluation of liquidity. Management believes that adjusting principally for the swings in non-cash working capital items due to seasonality or other timing issues assists management in making long-term liquidity assessments. The company also believes that this measurement is useful as a measure of liquidity or as a valuation measurement.

      The company uses free cash flow as a supplemental financial measure in its evaluation of liquidity and financial strength. Management believes that adjusting principally for the swings in non-cash operating working capital items due to seasonality or other timing issues, additions to property, plant and equipment, and changes to other assets assists management in the long-term assessment of liquidity and financial strength. Management also believes that this measurement is useful as an indicator of its ability to service its debt, meet other payment obligations and make strategic investments. Readers should be aware that free cash flow does not represent residual cash flow available for discretionary expenditures.

      C.     ITEMS INCLUDED IN GROSS MARGIN


      Three Months Ended December 31, 2016


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      Consolidated

      Gross margin

      $

      120

      $

      55

      $

      8

      $

      183

      Items included in the above:






      Share of Canpotex's Prince Rupert project exit costs

      -

      -

      -

      -


      Termination benefit costs

      -

      -

      -

      -


      Impairment of property, plant and equipment

      -

      -

      -

      -







      Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2016


      Potash

      Nitrogen

      Phosphate

      Consolidated

      Gross margin

      $

      437

      $

      361

      $

      52

      $

      850

      Items included in the above:






      Share of Canpotex's Prince Rupert project exit costs

      (33)

      -

      -

      (33)


      Termination benefit costs

      (32)

      -

      -

      (32)


      Impairment of property, plant and equipment

      -

      -

      (27)

      (27)

      SOURCE Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.

      To view this news release in HTML formatting, please use the following URL: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/January2017/26/c3410.html

      Investors: Denita Stann, Senior Vice President, Investor and Public Relations, Phone: (306) 933-8521, Fax: (306) 933-8844, Email: [email protected]; Media: Director, Randy Burton, Public Relations and Communications, Phone: (306) 933-8849, Fax: (306) 933-8844, Email: [email protected]; Website: www.potashcorp.com

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