CALGARY, May 11, 2016 /CNW/ - The National Energy Board (NEB) today released its newest report: 'Canada's Energy Future 2016: Province and Territory Outlooks' that highlights the diversity of energy/electricity sources across Canada for both the production and consumption of energy, including crude oil, hydro, natural gas and solar power resources.
With the expected completion of the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric facility in the coming years, more than 98 per cent of power generation in Newfoundland and Labrador will come from hydroelectricity. Exports to neighboring provinces and the U.S. are also expected to rise. Offshore oil production is expected to rise in the medium term, though declines are anticipated between 2025-2030. Future discoveries and developments are a key uncertainty to energy supply and demand going forward.
In Nova Scotia, renewable energy is expected to rise with new wind, biomass and hydroelectric generation, as well as additional supply coming from Muskrat Falls. Offshore natural gas production is expected to decline in lock-step with declines from Deep Panuke, though future discoveries and developments remain a key uncertainty to energy supply and demand.
New Brunswick is predicted to maintain a diverse electricity supply mix, with new wind and solar coming on-stream. Medium term growth in construction and manufacturing will cause an increase in electricity demand until about 2025 and then decline.
Wind generation is expected to increase in Prince Edward Island to account for about 36 per cent of the province's demand by 2040. Electricity demand is also predicted to increase due to growth in the residential, commercial and industrial sectors.
The report does not include the recent key climate change policy announcement made by various provinces as well as the federal government. An update to the national Energy Futures report will include an examination of these future policies and will be released later this year.
Canada's Energy Future 2016: Province and Territory Outlooks
- The 'Canada's Energy Future 2016: Province and Territory Outlooks' report is the first time the NEB has published detailed information comparing and contrasting long-term energy outlooks across the provinces and territories.
- The type of energy used to generate electricity varies substantially between Canadian provinces and territories, based largely on their accessibility to resources and historical infrastructure development.
- For provinces with significant crude oil and natural gas production, prices, market fluctuations and infrastructure issues are all key determinants for future outlook.
- The types of energy consumed by Canadians varies widely across the country, due to the availability and pricing of different energy types. For example, provinces with large hydroelectric infrastructure like Quebec and Newfoundland & Labrador tend to use more electricity relative to Western provinces where natural gas is used in greater quantities. In the North, petroleum products like fuel oil and diesel are used more.
- The NEB consulted Canadian experts including environmental organizations, academics, provincial & territorial governments, industry and industry associations as the report was developed.
"Canada's energy production and consumption picture is as vast and diverse as the country itself. Recognizing this diversity will be critical as we deal with current energy market uncertainties and begin to implement the policies and technologies that will transform Canada to a low-carbon future. The projections in this report serve as an important baseline for those discussions," said Shelley Milutinovic, Chief Economist, National Energy Board.
The National Energy Board is an independent federal regulator of several parts of Canada's energy industry with the safety of Canadians and protection of the environment as its top priority. Its purpose is to regulate pipelines, energy development and trade in the Canadian public interest. For more information on the NEB and its mandate, please visit www.neb-one.gc.ca.
SOURCE National Energy Board
For further information: James Stevenson, Communications, National Energy Board, Tel: 403.613.6126, Email: James.Stevenson@neb-one.gc.ca