Findings of the Ordre des CRHA's Quebec employment outlook survey for
the first quarter of 2012
MONTREAL, Jan. 26, 2012 /CNW Telbec/ - For the first time in the
survey's history, human resources professionals expect to see a
slowdown in hiring and in hours worked. These are the main findings of
the first Flash-Emploi CRHA released by the Ordre des conseillers en ressources humaines agréés in
2012. This quarterly survey, conducted in collaboration with Analysis
Group, economic, financial and strategy consultants, reflects how HR
professionals expect the Quebec job market to develop in the near
Among the 366 validated respondents surveyed, the net difference between
hiring expectations, i.e. the percentage of respondents expecting their
workforce to increase less the percentage of those expecting it to
decrease, amounted to +22.6%. Although this figure remains positive, it
is nonetheless lower than the previous quarter's results (+30.5%) and
those for the first quarter of 2011 (+42.6%).
In 2011, to counterbalance the decrease in net hiring expectations in
relation to the previous quarter, an increase in hours worked was
noted. However, this quarter breaks with this trend. The net difference
in hours worked equals only +7.3%, 14.6 percentage points (% pts.) less
than the fourth quarter of 2011 and 15.7 % pts. less than the first
quarter of that same year.
"The end of the year was problematic for organizations in terms of
employment. In fact, respondents expect both a downturn in hiring and
in hours worked. Naturally everyone hopes to see the situation turn
around soon," commented Pierre Emmanuel Paradis, senior economist with
Similarly to the findings released in the two earlier editions of this
newsletter, respondents don't expect compensation to keep up with the
high inflation rates of the last quarters of 2011. More specifically,
42.1% expect pay increases to be less than Quebec's inflation rate
(which topped 3% at the time of the survey), versus 5.8% who disagree,
creating a net difference of -36.3%. However, economic forecasts for
2012, particularly by the Bank of Canada, suggest a return to an
inflation rate of around 2% for 2012.
Lastly, HR managers will continue to encounter recruitment problems, as
indicated by the net difference of +59.5% in this respect - the highest
percentage since this survey was introduced. Although recruitment
problems are shared by all economic sectors and regions, they are more
serious in large corporations.
Please visit www.portailrh.org/presse for the complete report (in French only).
For an interview with Pierre Emmanuel Paradis, please contact Justine
The indices presented in this quarterly newsletter are based on
responses to a survey conducted from December 5 to 19, 2011 among a
random sample of members of the Ordre des conseillers en ressources
humaines agréés (CRHA). In all, 366 respondents participated in this
survey, representing a margin of error of 5.0%, 19 times out of 20. In
the case of organizations with a number of Ordre members, only the
response of the main HR manager was retained. The responses were
weighted according to the size of the organization and were not
seasonally adjusted. The total percentages may not always equal 100%
due to rounding of values. The analysis of the survey was carried out
by Analysis Group, economic, financial and strategy consultants. (www.groupedanalyse.ca).
About the Ordre
With close to 8,500 members, the Ordre des conseillers en ressources
humaines agréés is the fifth largest association of its kind in the
world. It is the only organization in Quebec mandated to award human
resources professionals a title certifying their competency.
The Ordre is a leader in employee management practices. Committed to
innovation, it supports the ongoing development of human resources
professionals (CHRPs) and industrial relations counsellors (CIRCs),
thus helping to maintain a healthy balance between employee well-being
and organizational success. It is vigilant in ensuring that this
multifaceted function promotes leading edge solutions that address the
major issues impacting the workforce.
Through its actions in the public arena, the Ordre contributes to the
advancement and reputation of the profession and plays a key
influential role in the world of work in Quebec.
SOURCE ORDRE DES CONSEILLERS EN RESSOURCES HUMAINES AGREES
For further information:
Justine Delisle, CRHA Ordre des conseillers en ressources humaines agréés Tel.: 514 879-1636, ext. 235; 1 800 214 1609 Cell phone: 438 321-1251 firstname.lastname@example.org