HALIFAX, Nov. 8, 2012 /CNW/ - Export Development Canada's (EDC) forecast
for Nova Scotia's export growth calls for a rebound of 17 per cent in
2013 after a 14 per cent decline this year.
"Nova Scotia's export growth will lead the country in 2013 with a jump
per 17 per cent, driven by a more positive outlook for the natural gas
sector, paper mills coming back on line and improved U.S. demand," said
Peter Hall, Chief Economist, EDC. "Next year's growth is a relief, a
welcome sharp rebound from the 14 per cent decline in 2012."
"Global recession has battered Nova Scotia's export sector, with a sharp
saw-off in the number of exporters from 819 in 1999 to just 670 in
2010," said Hall. "The good news is that the dominant U.S. market is
poised for recovery, and second-place China is still growing at a good
Nova Scotia exports depend on the fish and fish products, motor vehicle
parts and forestry sectors, which together account for two thirds of
total international sales.
The agri-food sector, largely comprised of fish and fish products,
generates over a quarter of the province's total exports. EDC expects
agri-food exports to grow by 5 per cent next year after a 9 per cent
gain this year. Exports of fish and fish products are expected to rise
this year and next, driven by higher shipments of lobster, crab and
"The aquaculture sector will continue to boost agri-food exports, with
more investments driving up capacity," said Hall. "Nova Scotia's focus
on sustainable seafood products is creating lucrative global
opportunities and has the potential to command premium prices."
Nova Scotia's auto parts sector accounts for more 24 per cent of the
province's total exports, and is forecast to grow by 10 per cent next
year, following a 4 per cent gain in 2012. "
"The auto parts sector, led by Michelin, saw production growth soften
this year mostly due to weaker demand from European markets," said
Hall. "But as the imminent U.S. recovery kicks in next year, an
increase in vehicle production in the U.S., a positive pricing
environment and favorable raw material costs will see exports
accelerate next year, with upside potential."
The forestry sector is also important to Nova Scotia's export picture,
responsible for 16 per cent of the province's total exports, and will
see growth of 103 per cent growth next year after a 50 per cent decline
"The reopening of the NewPage Port Hawkesbury paper mill will be the
base of the forestry export story next year," said Hall. "The shutdown
of the Bowater Mersey Mill in Brooklyn, while impactful to the
province, is not expected to weigh down export growth as most of its
production supplies the domestic market."
EDC's semi-annual Global Export Forecast addresses the latest global
export conditions including perspectives on interest rates, exchange
rates as well as export strategies to help Canadian companies minimize
risk. It also analyzes a range of risks for which exporters should be
prepared. The forecast is available on EDC's website at: http://www.edc.ca/gef.
EDC is Canada's export credit agency, offering innovative commercial
solutions to help Canadian exporters and investors expand their
international business. EDC's knowledge and partnerships are used by
more than 7,700 Canadian companies and their global customers in up to
200 markets worldwide each year. EDC is financially self-sustaining and
a recognized leader in financial reporting and economic analysis.
SOURCE: Export Development Canada
For further information:
Export Development Canada
Tel: (613) 598-2904
Blackberry: email@example.com / (613) 291-1276