TORONTO, March 3, 2015 /CNW/ - Housing affordability in Manitoba
continued to improve in Q4 2014, according to the latest Housing Trends and Affordability Report issued today by RBC Economics.
"A softer pricing environment in Manitoba is a key contributing factor
for the improvement in affordability," said Craig Wright, senior
vice-president and chief economist, RBC. "The province is contending
with a substantial increase in supply of homes for sale, the effect of
which was exacerbated in Q4 when home resales dropped by 5.0 per cent."
Consequently, demand-supply conditions loosened to their weakest level
in more than 16 years in the province. RBC says that the significant
rise in supply largely reflected earlier completions of a wave of new
units in Winnipeg that caused absorption issues.
The RBC housing affordability measures, which capture the province's
proportion of pre-tax household income that would be needed to service
the costs of owning a home at current market values in Manitoba,
improved for all housing types in the fourth quarter of 2014 (a decline
in the measure represents an improvement in affordability).
RBC's measures for bungalows and condo apartments fell by 0.4 percentage
points to 35.6 per cent and 0.1 percentage points to 23.5 per cent,
respectively. The measure for two-storey homes fell by 0.4 percentage
points to 36.9 per cent.
"Cumulative declines in Manitoba's measures since Q4 of 2013 have been
among the larger ones recorded in the country," added Wright.
RBC's housing affordability measure for the benchmark detached bungalow
in Canada's largest cities in Q4 of 2014 is as follows: Vancouver 82.4
(down 1.2 percentage points from Q3); Toronto 56.8 (up 0.8 percentage
points); Montreal 37.3 (unchanged); Ottawa 36.0 (up 0.2 percentage
points); Calgary 33.7 (down 0.6 percentage points); Edmonton 33.5 (up
0.1 percentage points).
The RBC Housing Affordability measure, which has been compiled since
1985, is based on the calculated costs of owning a detached bungalow (a
reasonable property benchmark for the housing market in Canada) at
market value. Alternative housing types are also presented, including a
standard two-storey home and a standard condominium apartment. The
higher the reading, the more difficult it is to afford a home at market
values. For example, an affordability reading of 50 per cent means that
homeownership costs, including mortgage payments, utilities and
property taxes, would take up 50 per cent of a typical household's
monthly pre-tax income.
It is important to note that RBC's measure is designed to gauge
ownership costs associated with buying a home at present market values.
It is not a representation of the actual costs incurred by current
owners, the vast majority of whom have bought in the past at
significantly different values than those prevailing in the latest
Highlights from across Canada:
British Columbia: Small improvement in affordability conditions
Housing affordability slightly improved across all categories of homes
measured by RBC, primarily reflecting stronger household income arising
from brighter economic prospects in the province. During Q4, RBC's
measures eased between 0.1 and 0.7 percentage points.
Alberta: Housing remains relatively affordable despite buffeted economic
Housing affordability was mainly unchanged in Alberta during Q4,
continuing to be fairly attractive relative to other provinces and
compared to historical averages. RBC's measure for bungalows fell by
0.4 percentage points, and remained unchanged for both condos and
Saskatchewan: Price declines translate to improved affordability
Price declines in the province during the fourth quarter of 2014
contributed to the fifth consecutive quarter of affordability
improvements. RBC's measures fell by 0.6 percentage points for both
bungalows and two-storey homes. The measure for condos, however, rose
by 0.6 percentage points.
Ontario: Robust housing market conditions impact affordability
Ontario's housing market bucked the generally improving trend in
affordability across Canada in Q4, 2014. RBC's measures rose in all
categories between 0.2 percentage points and 1.0 percentage points.
Quebec: Broad-based improvements in affordability continue
Steady improvements in Quebec's housing affordability continued in the
fourth quarter of 2014 with RBC's measure declining across all
categories tracked. Measures fell by 0.6 percentage points for
two-storey homes and by 0.4 percentage points for both bungalows and
Atlantic Canada: Among the most affordable markets in Canada
The region's homebuyers continued to face some of the most affordable
conditions across the country in Q4 of 2014. RBC's affordability
measures fell for both the two-storey and bungalow segments, by 0.5 and
0.1 percentage points, respectively. The measure for the condo segment
edged higher by 0.1 percentage points.
The full RBC Housing Trends and Affordability report is available online as of 8 a.m. ET today.
For further information:
Robert Hogue, Senior Economist, RBC Economics Research, 416-974-6192
Elyse Lalonde, Communications, RBC Capital Markets, 416-842-5635