May surge could make the difference between Harper majority and Liberal minority

    VICTORIA, Oct. 11 /CNW Telbec/ - Three senior Canadian members of the
2007 Nobel Prize winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are
calling on Elizabeth May to lead Greens to make the difference in more than 50
close ridings where the Conservatives are set to win with a fraction of the
expected Green Party vote. The leading Canadian climate scientists making the
call are Dr. Andrew Weaver from the University of Victoria, Dr. William
Peltier from the University of Toronto and Dr. John Stone from Carleton
    Riding projections on and seat models from various
polling companies show that in the so-called 519 and 905 regions, and across
southern BC the Green Party vote is many times greater than the Conservative
margin of victory.
    "We face a critical moment," said Dr. Andrew Weaver, a lead author of the
2007 Nobel Peace Prize winning IPCC report.
    "It looks like the unprecedented desire to vote for the environment could
result in a terrible three way split of environmental voters in key ridings.
Elizabeth May and her appeal have an extraordinary opportunity to make the
change the Green movement wants to see in our government. Ms. May and the
Greens alone can help make the difference between the Harper majority that the
climate scientists fear and a Liberal minority under which great progress can
be made to fight climate change."
    Doctors Weaver, Peltier and Stone were part of the group of 124 prominent
climate scientists who called for strategic voting to defeat the Conservative
government. uses the most recent polling and the 2006 election
results at the riding level to mathematically estimate results in each riding.
The tool uses the same method pollsters use to make seat projections. It is
available so citizens can decode what the various polls mean in their voting
choice and if their vote could help make the difference to stop a Conservative
victory in their riding.
    "Look at Oakville," said Dr. William Peltier from the University of
    "The Conservative in Oakville is set to win by about 1200 votes. In that
riding May and the Green party will probably draw well over 7000 votes. If
even a portion of those Greens act it will make the difference. There are
dozens of ridings like Oakville. It looks today like Conservatives will squeak
out a win over NDP and Liberal candidates in key ridings where the Greens
under May are so strong that, if they used their votes to make change, it
would happen."
    "Right now if May were to act to lead the growing Green force she has
inspired, she could change the result of this election," said Dr. John Stone
from Carleton University.
    "I think changing the government by acting in a narrow band of ridings is
more important to environmental voters than the $1.83 parties get per vote.
May should make clear that she believes the government needs to change and the
election is in the hands of green voters in key ridings."
    Visit to download a spreadsheet of all the ridings
where the Green vote can make the difference.

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For further information:

For further information: Dr. William Peltier, (647) 405-0829; Dr. John
Stone, (613) 862-3393; Dr. Andrew Weaver, (250) 888-7591

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