IRVING, TEXAS, November 5 /CNW/ - Continued economic progress, population
growth and the pursuit of improved living standards in the developing world
will be the key driver of global energy demand over the next two decades,
Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) said today, releasing the corporation's
Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030.
"Ready access to reliable, affordable energy is essential to economic
prosperity worldwide," said Rex W. Tillerson, chairman and chief executive.
"Our challenge is to meet energy demand with practical, broad-based
solutions that promote economic development and energy security while
balancing the need to protect our environment."
The Outlook for Energy is developed annually, and is the product of an
ongoing process that has been conducted over decades. The results are used to
assist ExxonMobil's business planning and to increase public understanding of
the world's energy needs and challenges. The outlook is developed through a
detailed analysis of approximately 100 countries, 15 demand sectors and 20
fuel types and is underpinned by economic and population projections and
expectations of significant energy efficiency improvements and technology
Among this year's findings:
-- Annual energy demand growth is expected to average 1.3 percent per
year from 2005 to 2030.
-- Energy demand growth in the developing world, which includes
countries that are not members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation
and Development (OECD), is expected to be two percent per year -- four times
that of the developed world at 0.5 percent per year.
-- A wide variety of energy sources will be required to meet global
demand, which is expected to be one-third higher by 2030 compared to today,
reaching close to the daily equivalent of 325 million barrels of oil.
-- Hydrocarbons will continue to account for about 80 percent of energy
demand through 2030; oil and gas alone will account for approximately 60
-- Among renewable energy sources, wind, solar and biofuels grow rapidly
at about 9 percent per year, reflecting government subsidies and mandates.
These energy sources currently represent about 0.5 percent of world energy,
and are expected to reach approximately 2 percent by 2030.
-- Energy efficiency as measured by energy intensity -- global energy
demand divided by global GDP -- has been improving by approximately 1 percent
per year since 1980. Improvements are expected to accelerate with development
and deployment of advanced technologies and average 1.6 percent per year in
-- Projected growth of emissions of carbon dioxide from energy use
varies in the developed and developing world. Increased reliance on coal and
strong growth in all fossil fuel use is expected to increase energy-related
CO2 emissions in the developing world by 2 percent per year. Overall low
energy demand growth combined with a shrinking reliance on coal will keep CO2
emissions in the developed world almost constant through 2030. On a global
basis, energy-related CO2 emissions will increase to an annual level of 37
billion tonnes by 2030, compared to 27 billion tonnes in 2005.
-- Slowing the growth of carbon dioxide emissions will require global
participation, step changes in energy efficiency, technology gains and massive
investment over decades. Substantial and cost-effective CO2 reduction efforts
will need to maximize the use of markets and reach broadly across the economy,
involving everyone from producers to consumers.
"The energy challenges faced by the world are undeniable," said
Tillerson. "Economic progress will drive energy demand, oil and gas will
remain indispensable for the foreseeable future, and a global effort will be
required to tackle greenhouse gas emissions.
"ExxonMobil's Energy Outlook provides us with an opportunity to use a
common set of data in seeking solutions to the world's energy challenges.
Understanding the outlook for energy and thoughtfully examining our options is
For more information on the Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030, visit
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT: This press release includes forward-looking
statements. Actual future conditions, including growth in energy demand,
energy supply mix, energy efficiency, and CO2 emissions could differ
materially due to changes in rates of economic growth; changes in technology;
the development of new energy supply sources; political events; demographic
changes; and other factors discussed under the heading "Factors Affecting
Future Results" in the "Investors" section of our website (www.exxonmobil.com)
and in Item 1A of our most recent Form 10-K.
For further information:
For further information: ExxonMobil Alan Jeffers, 972-444-1107