MDA EarthSat 06-07 Winter Outlook Colder than Last Year and Close to 30Y Normal



    ROCKVILLE, MD., November 1 /CNW/ - MDA EarthSat Energy Weather (part of
MDA Federal in Rockville, MD) is forecasting the Dec-Jan-Feb period to average
4% colder than last year and 1% warmer than the 30-year normal (1971-2000). On
that track, this would be the coldest winter since 03-04.

    Regionally, the winter period is forecast to be warmer than normal across
the Southern tier, from Texas to the Southeast. Seasonal to below normal
temperatures are seen across the Northern tier, including the Pacific
Northwest, Chicago, and the Northeast. The Western states are forecast to
average closer to normal levels as well with the coolest (and wettest) chances
for the Pacific Northwest.

    The latest official forecast is derived via MDA EarthSat's unique
consensus-based forecasting technique, which has performed well the last two
seasons (within 2% last summer and 1% last winter). Matt Rogers, Deputy
Director of Weather for MDA EarthSat, notes that this year continues to be the
mirror-opposite of last year: "Instead of a cool Autumn and a very warm start
to the winter, this year looks to unfold in reverse with a currently very warm
fall translating into a colder than normal heating season start. Parts of the
Midwest and East could even see snow as early as next week." The current
consensus outlook favors a colder December, warmer January, and a mixed
February outcome. Much will depend on the La Nina status too, which is
forecast by MDA EarthSat to remain in the weak to moderate range this winter.

    MDA EarthSat Energy Weather provides consulting support for over 300
companies active in risk management for the energy sector. Forecast
percentages based on national natural gas weighted heating degree days. For
more information, please contact Christopher.Hyde@mdafederal.com.




For further information:

For further information: MDA Federal Chris Hyde Manager, Product Sales
240-833-8322 christopher.hyde@mdafederal.com

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