Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Reveals Canadian Employers Expect Hiring Climate to Improve in the Fourth Quarter of 2009



    TORONTO, Sept. 8 /CNW/ - Canadian employers expect a more optimistic
hiring climate for the October to December period of 2009, according to the
latest results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey, the most extensive,
forward-looking employment survey in the world.
    With seasonal variations removed from the survey data, the Net Employment
Outlook stands at five per cent indicating employers are forecasting a
cautiously optimistic hiring environment in the fourth quarter. This forecast
improves eight percentage points from the previous quarter when employers
reported a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of minus three per cent.
However, the Outlook declines nine percentage points from the same time last
year.
    The survey of more than 1,900 Canadian employers reveals that 15 per cent
plan to increase their payrolls in the fourth quarter of 2009, while 11 per
cent anticipate cutbacks and 73 per cent of employers expect to maintain their
current staffing levels. One per cent are unsure of their hiring intentions
for the upcoming quarter.
    "This quarter's Net Employment Outlook indicates that the sluggish hiring
pace reported in the previous quarter is likely to improve in the fourth
quarter of 2009, but it's far off the pace we saw last year at this time,"
says Byrne Luft, VP, Marketing for Manpower Canada. "Employers are telling us
that they plan to hire, but in a very conservative manner. The forecast for
the Construction industry sector is noticeably stronger in the Atlantic and
Western regions."
    Of the 10 surveyed industry sectors, employers in both the Construction
sector and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector report the most
favourable forecasts for the October to December period of 2009 with Net
Employment Outlooks of 10 per cent once seasonal variations are removed from
the data. Employers in both the Mining and Public Administration sectors are
also cautiously optimistic for the upcoming quarter, reporting seasonally
adjusted Net Employment Outlooks of nine per cent.

    Construction

    With a Net Employment Outlook of 10 per cent, job seekers in the
Construction industry sector can expect a favourable hiring climate for the
fourth quarter of 2009. This quarter's forecast is a four percentage point
increase from the previous quarter. However, it is also five percentage points
weaker from the same time last year when employers reported a seasonally
adjusted Outlook of 15 per cent.

    Finance, Insurance and Real Estate

    In the Finance, Insurance and Real Estate industry sector, employers
report a Net Employment Outlook of 10 per cent. This is a two percentage point
increase from the previous quarter and a 10 percentage point decrease from the
same time last year, indicating a slightly more hopeful hiring climate for the
upcoming quarter.

    Mining

    Employers in the Mining industry sector are projecting a moderate hiring
climate with a Net Employment Outlook of nine per cent. This is a 17
percentage point decrease from the same time last year. However, it is 11
percentage points stronger than the previous quarter.

    Public Administration

    With a Net Employment Outlook of nine per cent, employers in the Public
Administration sector anticipate a fair hiring climate for the fourth quarter
of 2009. This quarter's forecast is on par with the previous quarter, but is a
12 percentage point decline from the forecast reported at the same time last
year.

    Services

    In the Services sector, employers report a Net Employment Outlook of
seven per cent, indicating a mild hiring climate for the upcoming quarter.
This is a seven percentage point improvement from the previous quarter.
However, it is a nine percentage point decline from the same time last year.

    Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods

    Employers in the Manufacturing Non-Durables sector expect a moderate
hiring climate and report a Net Employment Outlook of six per cent. This is an
18 percentage point increase from the previous quarter however the fourth
quarter forecast is on par with the Outlook reported at the same time last
year.

    Transportation and Public Utilities

    Reporting a Net Employment Outlook of five per cent, employers in the
Transportation and Public Utilities sector expect a cautiously optimistic
hiring climate for the upcoming quarter. This is a seven percentage point
improvement from the previous quarter, but is an 11 percentage point decline
from the same time last year.

    Wholesale and Retail Trade

    In the Wholesale and Retail Trade sector employers expect conservative
hiring activity in the fourth quarter reporting a Net Employment Outlook of
one per cent. This is a slight decline from the previous quarter when
employers predicted a hiring climate of two per cent. It is an 11 percentage
point decrease from the Outlook reported during the same time last year.

    Education

    With a Net Employment Outlook of one per cent, employers in the Education
sector expect a quiet hiring climate for the fourth quarter of 2009. This
quarter's Outlook is four percentage points weaker when compared to both the
previous quarter and the same time last year.

    Manufacturing Durable Goods

    In the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector, employers anticipate a flat
hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of minus one per cent. The
Outlook improves 19 percentage points from the previous quarter, but is 12
percentage points weaker when compared to the same time last year.

    Regional Hiring Intentions Mixed

    "Regionally, employers in Western and Atlantic Canada are anticipating
the most encouraging hiring environment," adds Luft. "However, the raw survey
data indicates that the Outlook is weaker in three of the four Canadian
regions surveyed compared to three months ago, and only employers in Western
Canada are reporting stronger hiring intentions for the coming quarter. The
optimistic forecast for this region is being bolstered by positive hiring
intentions in the Construction, Mining, Finance, Insurance & Real Estate, and
Services industry sectors." Meanwhile employers in Atlantic Canada report a
fair hiring climate with Net Employment Outlook of seven per cent. With Net
Employment Outlooks of three per cent and two per cent respectively, employers
in Quebec and Ontario expect a mild hiring climate for the upcoming quarter.

    About the Survey

    The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted quarterly to measure
employers' intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their
workforce during the next quarter. It is the most extensive forward-looking
survey of its kind, unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area of
focus. The Survey has been running for more than 45 years and is one of the
most trusted surveys of employment activity in the world. The Manpower
Employment Outlook Survey is based on interviews with more than 72,000 public
and private employers worldwide and is considered a highly respected economic
indicator.
    The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is currently available for 35
countries and territories: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil,
Canada, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece,
Guatemala, Hong Kong, Hungary, India, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico,
Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Peru, Poland, Romania, Singapore, Spain,
South Africa, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, the United Kingdom and the United
States. The program began in the United States and Canada in 1962, and the
United Kingdom was added in 1966. Mexico and Ireland launched the survey in
2002, and 13 additional countries were added to the program in 2003. New
Zealand joined the program in 2004, China, India, Switzerland and Taiwan were
added in 2005, and Argentina, Peru, Costa Rica and South Africa joined in
2006. Colombia, the Czech Republic, Greece, Guatemala, Poland and Romania
joined in 2008; Brazil and Hungary joined in 2009. For more information, visit
the Manpower Inc. Web site at www.manpower.com and enter the Research Center.

    About Manpower Canada

    With over 50 offices strategically located across the country, Manpower
Canada's staffing services include administrative, industrial, skilled trades
and contact centre personnel as well as the assignment of contract
professionals in information technology, scientific, finance, engineering,
telecommunications and other professional areas under the Manpower
Professional brand. More information can be found on Manpower Canada's Web
sites: manpower.ca and manpowerprofessional.ca.




For further information:

For further information: John Settino, The iPR Group, (416) 850-2524,
john@theiprgroup.ca

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