Liberals Poised to Retain Guelph, Greens Overtake NDP



    WINNIPEG, Aug. 20 /CNW/ - Frank Valeriote looks to become the next Member
of Parliament for Guelph, based on the most recent polls completed by KlrVu
Research. Over thirty six percent of voters have indicated their support for
the Liberal candidate, and he retains a 10-percentage point lead over nearest
competitor Gloria Kovach of the Conservatives who has 26.35% of the voters
polled.
    "Both the Liberals and the Conservatives are polling a few points below
their 2006 totals, however Valeriote has been able to maintain the ten point
lead that former M.P. Brenda Chamberlain last achieved." says Allan Bruinooge,
Proprietor of KlrVu.
    "The biggest surprise in this poll is the dramatic fashion in which the
Green Party has overtaken the NDP in just two and half years. The Greens came
in at 19.2%, up 11 percent from their 2006 tally, whereas the NDP have dropped
from 22% to 17.7% during the same period. Also interesting, it seems the Green
support is coming from all of the parties, not just the NDP." Stated Bruinooge
    This poll was completed in two rounds on July 27th and August 13th,
sampling over 3396 random residents of the Guelph constituency representing
nearly nine percent of all households with a 95% confidence level and a margin
of error of 2%.

    
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Party           Liberal      Conservative       NDP         Green Party
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Percentage       36.6%          26.35%         17.77%          19.22%
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    

    By-election results are subject to significant swings as voter turnout is
low, therefore allowing the candidate with the best organization to achieve a
greater percentage of actual votes as opposed to general popularity of the
entire community.

    How this poll was conducted: This KLRVU poll was conducted by touchtone
technology which polled households across Guelph. Using this technology with
the voice of a professional announcer all respondents heard the questions
asked identically, which queried a response on the candidate's name and their
associated party. In theory, with the stated sample size, one can say with 95%
certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of
sampling error, in one direction or the other. There are other possible
sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than theoretical
calculations of sampling error. These include refusals to be interviewed,
question wording and question order, weighting by demographic control data and
the manner in which respondents are filtered (such as, determining who is a
likely participant). It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result
from these factors.

    About KLRVU Research

    Based in Winnipeg, KLRVU Research is a privately owned aboriginal polling
company working private firms since 2006 doing research services. Core
services include research, data collection and macro polling services.

    For more information on the results of this survey, call: 204-999-7446 Or
visit www.klrvu.com





For further information:

For further information: Allan Bruinooge, KlrVu-Research, Phone (204)
999-7446, Fax (204) 897-2852, 95 Fidler Ave., Winnipeg, Mb., R3J 2R6, Email
al@klrvu-research.com, Website klrvu.com

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KLR VU RESEARCH

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