Canadian residential real estate future is solid



    OTTAWA, Jan. 23 /CNW Telbec/ - The Canadian housing market in 2007 set a
number of MLS(R) sales records, and the re-sale housing market is expected to
remain at near record sales levels in 2008, according to The Canadian Real
Estate Association.
    Annual residential MLS(R) sales activity totaled 520,747 units in 2007,
up 7.6 per cent from 2006 levels. This was the largest annual sales growth
since 2002, and the first time transactions via the MLS(R) systems of real
estate boards in Canada have surpassed 500,000 units sold in one year.
    "The results in 2007 show the strength and the affordability of the
Canadian residential market," says CREA President Ann Bosley. "The statistics
again show just how different the housing markets are in Canada and the United
States. Canadian REALTORS(R) know that Canadian mortgage lenders correctly see
that home prices will continue rising. We know there is still strong
competition for mortgage business in Canada."
    Three key economic ingredients will keep Canada's housing market on a
different track from the United States. One is consumer confidence, the second
is employment, and third is affordable interest rates. The Bank of Canada cut
interest rates on January 22nd because of weaker prospects for Canadian
economic growth in 2008. "Those lower interest rates will also help temper the
erosion in housing affordability due to additional home price increases,"
Bosley added. The Bank of Canada is expected to cut its trend-setting rate
again in March.
    CREA's Chief Economist Gregory Klump says that the Canadian housing
market in 2008 will pull back from the breakneck pace set in 2007, but this is
still forecast to be the second-busiest year on record in almost all
provinces, with residential unit sales reaching an estimated 512,705 units.
    Average prices for MLS(R) home sales are expected to keep setting records
in 2008, although prices will increase more slowly as the market becomes more
balanced. In most provinces, the market will nevertheless remain historically
tight - with the tightest markets being in Saskatchewan and Manitoba.
Nationwide, the average residential price is forecast to increase 5.5 per cent
to about $322,700.
    According to CREA's Chief Economist, a larger supply of listings will be
one of the balancing influences in 2008. New listings are forecast to rise in
all provinces except Alberta, where they're expected to retreat after spiking
in late 2007.
    "The challenge for the Canadian housing market will be the extent to
which employment and consumer confidence may be affected by a slowdown in the
U.S. economy," Ann Bosley adds.
    "Slower job growth, not massive layoffs, are forecast for Canada in
2008," CREA's Chief Economist Gregory Klump adds. "Consumer confidence may be
sideswiped by stock market volatility, and reports that chances of a U.S.
economic recession will put the brakes on the Canadian economy. With slower
job growth, a low unemployment rate and the absence of widespread layoffs,
consumer confidence will bounce back. The domestic economy and the housing
market will weather the sub-prime fallout with the help of lower interest
rates".




For further information:

For further information: Gregory Klump, CREA Chief Economist, (613)
237-7111, gklump@crea.ca

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The Canadian Real Estate Association

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