• 20 février 2007 10:49
  • - Affaires générales
  • - Immobillier

MLS(R) home sales activity forecast to stay strong - Prices to continue to rise


    OTTAWA, Feb. 20 /CNW Telbec/ - National MLS(R) home sales activity will
remain high this year and in 2008, according to The Canadian Real Estate
Association.
    National sales activity is forecast to ease slightly but remain above
450,000, which is near the strongest levels on record. Annual activity is
forecast to rise this year in Saskatchewan and Manitoba and inch lower in
other provinces.
    The national MLS(R) residential average price is forecast to rise
modestly over the next two years. Resale housing markets will become more
balanced in all provinces, but will remain tighter in Western provinces where
annual price increases will be the largest.
    "Mortgage rates are low and will stay that way," said CREA Chief
Economist Gregory Klump. "Employment is high and will continue to rise.
Consumer sentiment is upbeat. Incomes are rising. The combination of those
factors will keep the housing market on a strong footing over the next couple
of years."
    "Annual price increases will generally be smaller than last year in all
provinces," added Klump. "Saskatchewan is forecast to buck the trend by
posting a bigger annual average price increase this year because sales
activity has outstripped growth in new listings, which has caused the resale
housing market to tighten there."
    "Your REALTOR(R) is the best person to look to for help in marketing the
features of your property, and for accurate pricing within your local real
estate market," said CREA President Alan Tennant, FRI. "It is very important
to look to your REALTOR(R) throughout the listing period for up-to-date and
sound advice."
    "A home is one of your greatest financial assets, so using the
professional services provided by a REALTOR(R) provides both buyers and
sellers with the expertise and information they need to make the right
decisions," added Tennant.CREA MLS(R) Residential Market Forecast:
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    MLS(R) residential     2006     2006      2007    2007      2008    2008
    unit sales forecast            annual   forecast annual   forecast annual
                                   percen-           percen-          percen-
                                    tage              tage             tage
                                   change            change           change
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Canada              483,609    -0.04   475,965    -1.6   466,355    -2.0
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    British Columbia     96,671    -9.1     92,130    -4.7    90,345    -1.9
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Alberta              74,189    12.6     72,210    -2.7    70,775    -2.0
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Saskatchewan          9,140    10.0      9,315     1.9     9,170    -1.6
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Manitoba             13,018     2.0     13,140     0.9    12,845    -2.2
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Ontario             194,793    -1.1    194,285    -0.3   190,430    -2.0
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Quebec               72,520     2.6     72,235    -0.4    70,485    -2.4
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    New Brunswick         7,125     4.2      7,045    -1.1     6,990    -0.8
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Nova Scotia          10,577    -3.3     10,315    -2.5    10,065    -2.4
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Prince Edward Island  1,492     3.0      1,355    -9.2     1,340    -1.1
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Newfoundland          3,537    10.2      3,435    -2.9     3,415    -0.6
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------


    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    MLS(R) residential     2006     2006      2007    2007      2008    2008
    average price                  annua    forecast annual   forecast annual
                                  percen-            percen-          percen-
                                   tage               tage              tage
                                  change             change           change
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Canada              276,974     11.1   296,200     6.9   310,400     4.8
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    British Columbia    390,963     17.7   427,800     9.4   454,000     6.1
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Alberta             285,497     30.8   329,800    15.5   353,700     7.2
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Saskatchewan        132,078      7.6   142,900     8.2   152,200     6.5
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Manitoba            150,229     12.2   164,500     9.5   177,100     7.7
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Ontario             278,455      5.9   289,500     4.0   298,500     3.1
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Quebec              194,024      5.1   201,700     4.0   208,400     3.3
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    New Brunswick       126,864      5.2   131,900     4.0   135,400     2.7
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Nova Scotia         169,237      6.3   178,900     5.7   186,600     4.3
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Prince Edward
     Island             125,430      7.0   133,300     6.3   137,400     3.1
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Newfoundland        139,542     -1.2   143,200     2.6   146,000     2.0
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
For further information: please contact: Gregory Klump, CREA Chief
Economist, (613) 237-7111, gklump@crea.ca