TORONTO, April 29 /CNW/ - If polling firm Angus Reid has it right, tens of thousands of Canadians unhappy with five years of
Stephen Harper government will go to the polls on Monday to vote
against the Conservatives.
"More than a third of Canadians - 37 per cent - are considering voting
strategically in order to reduce the chances of a specific party
forming the government, even if it means casting a ballot for a
candidate they dislike," said the pollster.
"More than half of Liberals - 53 per cent - and more than two-in-five
NDP supporters - 43 per cent - are thinking of this option on election
Catch 22 Harper Conservatives and other similar groups have been working full out since the election
was called on March 26, asking people to vote strategically - in favor
of the candidate in many ridings that who has the best chance of
defeating the Conservative candidate so that Stephen Harper will not
win a majority in Parliament.
Political scientist Alvin Finkel believes that strategic voting can help
defeat Harper. " Strategic voting remains necessary to determine who
can keep the Tories from winning in key ridings, and so the Catch 22
choices remain crucial to insuring that we do not wake up on May 3 to a
majority Tory government", said Finkel, from the Centre for State and
Legal Studies at Athabaska University in Alberta.
The climb of the NDP in the polls is remarkable, with much of the gain
due to the collapse of the Bloc in Quebec and Jack Layton's strong
performances in both televised debates. Friday's Nanos Research survey
had the NDP at 31.2 per cent - only five points behind the
Conservatives, who were at 36.4.
If the trend holds, the NDP will finish in second place, well ahead of
However, Catch 22 strategist Nick Fillmore says that, "voters must keep
our eye on the prize on Monday and not lose sight of doing what it
takes to make sure that Harper does not win a majority." If anyone
needs a reminder of how far Harper is off the mark when it comes to the
interests of the majority of Canadians, have a look at these articles:
With only two crucial campaigning days left, Harper's Conservatives are
at 36.4 per cent in Friday's Nanos Research opinion survey - dangerously close to a majority government should opposition parties
split the vote in too many ridings.
Alvin Finkel has a warning. "While I am as excited as anyone about the
NDP surge, it is clear from the polls that the chances of Canadians
electing a majority of Harper Conservatives with about 38 percent of
the vote remain high.
"If Harper has a majority, it won't matter much which party forms the
official opposition. We'll see a rightward shift in Canadian federal
policy of the kind that Britain experienced under Margaret Thatcher and
from which it has never recovered, regardless of which party has formed
The greatest danger is that, if the NDP gains votes at the expense of
the Liberals, the two parties will end up seriously splitting the vote
in a number of ridings. This would allow the Conservatives to take
advantage of the weakness in Canada's outdated electoral system and
sneak up the middle and win seats.
Therefore, voters in Catch 22 target ridings need to go out and support
the Liberals in ridings where Catch 22 is recommending that Liberals
have the best chance of defeating Conservatives.
Here are 16 key ridings where we recommend that voters support the
Oak Ridges Markham
During these closing days of the campaign, Catch 22 has stepped up its
campaigning by phoning tens of thousands of voters in key ridings
across the country. They have also proposed that Saturday, April 30 be
designated as "Heave Steve Day" and is encouraging local activity in all of its recommended ridings.
On Friday, Catch 22 changed the designation of one riding - Beauport
Limiloi in Quebec, from a Bloc recommendation to "too close to call".
This decision was based on the NDP surge in the Quebec City region.
SOURCE Catch 22
For further information:
Catch 22 Toll Free Media Line: 1-855-228-2488