Recession Concerns Ease but Global Executives Don't Believe Bull Market Translates to Labor Demand
Labor Market Data Rated Most Accurate Economic Indicator; Majority of
Executives Feel Labor Recovery Will Lag Equity Markets
When asked what best describes the global economy, 40 percent of executives responded "recovering" compared with just 13 percent in March - a 67.5 percent increase in just six months. An overwhelming majority, 71 percent, felt that stock performance would continue to improve through the second half of 2009 as well.
Still, the majority of executives (60 percent) describe the overall economic state negatively, with 39 percent categorizing it as a "severe recession" and four percent calling it a "depression." However, these numbers are significantly lower than March data, when "severe recession" accounted for two-thirds of responses and "depression" tallied six percent.
Global executives ranked "labor market data" the most accurate economic indicator (42 percent), followed by "consumer attitude and opinion surveys," "manufacturing data" and "retail data" (tied at 13 percent) and "stock market data" (11 percent). "Inflation" and "housing data" earned five and four percent of the responses respectively.
The prospects for a labor market recovery seem to lag the financial markets. Nearly three-quarters (73 percent) say we have yet to reach the bottom of the labor market. Twenty-nine percent say the trough will come in Q4 2009, 37 percent believe sometime in 2010 and seven percent believe it will be after 2010. Just 27 percent feel that we have already or are currently experiencing the bottom of labor demand.
"We often find that labor demand lags financial markets when coming out of a recession," said
Methodology
The Korn/Ferry International Executive Quiz is based on a global survey of executives registered within the firm's online Executive Center, ekornferry.com. Respondents from 70 countries, representing a wide spectrum of industries and functional areas, participated in the most recent Executive Quiz in July-August 2009.
About The Korn/Ferry Institute
The Korn/Ferry Institute was founded to serve as a premier global voice on a range of talent management and leadership issues. The Institute commissions, originates and publishes groundbreaking research utilizing Korn/Ferry's unparalleled expertise in executive recruitment and talent development combined with its preeminent behavioral research library. The Institute is dedicated to improving the state of global human capital for businesses of all sizes around the world.
About Korn/Ferry International
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